"The guy I think could be really good in center is Adam Dunn. If someone asked me if Dunn could be a center fielder for the next 10 years, if he started working on it, no one could explain to me why he couldn’t do it." - Brad Kullman
I am simply amazed some of you can't get it yet lol.........
As much as everyone disliked DanO, you can't argue with his drafts.
WHEN DOES IT STOP!?!?
Outside of Bailey (and perhaps Milton Loo, who was signed two years later) I doubt any one else from that draft becomes more than a bit AAAA type player.
I'm glad Bailey panned out, but that's more dumb luck than anything else.
Paul Janish is finally starting to show the promise he showed in college with his bat. Cody Strait has a very intriuging combo of spped and power....if he can bring his contact level up just a bit, he could be very interesting.
But that is probably about it
how many of those guys were obtain through trades?
1. Homer Bailey - Drafted 2004
2. Jay Bruce - drafed 2005
3. Joey Votto - drafted 2002
4. Drew Stubbs - drafted 2006
5. Johnny Cueto - signed as a free agent in 2004
6. Travis Wood - drafted 2005
7. Sean Watson - drafted 2006
8. Milton Loo -drafted in 04 and 05, signed May of 06.
9. Chris Valaika - drafted 2006
10. Paul Janish - drafted 2004
One thing i am concerned about, but i may not have the correct info.
Re: Joey Votto. His BABIP average was .371. Now if IIRC the league average is .300. This may mean that Votto was extremely hit lucky. I read on one of the sabr sites that minor league stars tend to have higher BABIP, but i doubt they average this high (.371). If i'm correct, it my mean that he's not near as ready as the club may think. He needs a year in AAA to conolidate gains made this year and to even out the luck factor so we can see what we really got.
Where'd you find that? .371 is pretty darn high.Joey Votto. His BABIP average was .371.
Superdude id post the link but i'm terrible with the internet thing --found it on a site called minorleaguesplits.com.
BABIP is usually .280-.310. In the minor leagues, it tends to be a little higher for certain guys, becuase well, they are just better hitters. You hit more line drives facing lesser competition, more line drives usually means more hits.
If you want to break down Votto a little further lets take a peak.
He had 398 batted balls on the season.
160 went for hits, while 238 were not hits.
of his 159 ground balls, just 30 went for hits. That is just 19%.
He had 71 line drives, 55 of which went for hits. That is 77%.
He also had 156 fly balls, 66 of which went for hits. That is 42%.
His line drives and fly balls went for hits a lot of the time. I think its more of a he hit the ball real hard, an awful lot than he was real lucky. He had 70 extra base hits on the season....
Factoring in BABIP for hitters doesn't work quite the same way as it does for pitchers anyway. Pitchers are so tightly clustered in terms of their ability to control BABIP that for most practical purposes the variations are just random luck and defense. Hitters *do* control BABIP. They're still subject to fluctuations around their "natural" BABIP level due to luck, but it's not accurate to start with the assumption that all hitters start with the same general BABIP rate.
Not all who wander are lost