And RSAA doesn't take account for that.I thought W/L was a bad metric by which to measure a pitcher's effectiveness?
And RSAA doesn't take account for that.I thought W/L was a bad metric by which to measure a pitcher's effectiveness?
I'd like to see two starters come in and unceremoniously unseat the two Pretenders to the Throne: Lohse and Milton.
“And when finally they sense that some position cannot be sustained, they do not re-examine their ideas. Instead, they simply change the subject.” Jamie Galbraith
I'll give yoiu that. As I've said before, this winter will tell the tale. And everyone is entitled to a mistake now and then.
What bothers me is we keep getting these signals from Castilinni and Krivsky that "we're going to spend what is neeed" in improve the club and instead we get Joe Mays and Alex Gonzalez.
I know it's only been a few days since free agency, but it's time to put your money where your mouth is, so to speak.
www.ris-news.com
"You only have to bat a thousand in two things; flying and heart transplants. Everything else you can go 4-for-5."
-Beano Cook
We've been down that road many times.
Kearns and Lopez were both in the MLB top 10 in OPS at their respective positions at the time of the trade.
I know Kearns was fat and wasn't Joe Dimaggio and Lopez couldn't field and had tattoos and all the other reasons some Reds fans hated them, but the fact remains that they were above average performers on offense.
"I prefer books and movies where the conflict isn't of the extreme cannibal apocalypse variety I guess." Redsfaithful
I don't know, but here's what TB formula arises from (and that's what RSAA is based on)
The factor (League ERA/9) measures the average runs allowed per inning for all teams in the league. This value is multiplied by the number of innings pitched by that pitcher --- this product represents the number of runs that pitcher would allow over the season if he was average. Last, one subtracts the actual earned runs (ER) the pitcher allowed for that season. If the pitching runs is larger than 0, then this pitcher is better than average. This new measure appears to be useful in measuring the efficiency and durability of a pitcher.Code:League ERA PITCHING RUNS = Innings Pitched x ----------- - ER. 9
GAC, I think we agree up until this point. This franchise is at a stage where they either need to get some front line players to make a push or to basically start from scratch. If there isn't anyone available that will get this team to the next level, then don't sign Gonzalez. Use that money elsewhere. Put it in the bank until next year. Draft the best player available next season, no matter what their demands are. Start expanidng the international scouting and drop millions there.
It's like the Royals going out and getting Zito this season. What difference does it make? A few more wins?
Thats a bad analogy GAC.
Would you admit that baseball today is different today than 20 years ago? How bout 30 years ago? Are stadiums today different than 30 years ago?
The simple fact is that in the 70's a team could win with black holes at certain positions because of the game. Today that might not be true. And, even if it were true, these Reds don't have Foster, Morgan, Bench, Perez, Griffey, Sr and Rose to offset a black hole or two.
Not that saying this is a good signing or a bad signing (although anyone with an OBP under .300 even from the 8th spot in the lineup makes me lean towards the bad siging part, but I'll wait until I see what else Mr. Minnestoa Twins baseball does beforehand before I pass ultimate judgment), but what i am saying is that is a bad analogy.
"I came here to kick ass and chew bubble gum... and I'm all out of bubble gum."
- - Rowdy Roddy Piper
"It takes a big man to admit when he is wrong. I am not a big man"
- - Fletch
You just did a bait and switch. Your previous post said "above average everyday players." Now, you are referring to "above average performers on offense." Which is it, since "everday players" entails when these guys take the field as well, which we know drags the value of Lopez down to "average," at best. Then, you define "above average everyday players" based on half a season of offensive performance? There is no data that you can provide for those two, on a historical basis, that qualifies them by some measure of "above average everyday players." You sure do have me confused as to what the criteria are for an "above average everyday player." I never was very good at shooting those moving duckies.
Edabbs, I think I understand where you are comming from, but would Cincinnati fandom, especially Redszone, sit idley by for the length of time it would take to invest millions in scounting and the farm systems and endoure how many ever more years of crappy teams until the effects started to show?
Unfortuntaley having to play baseball, and win some games while rebuilding makes is (1) much more difficult and (2) much more lengthy process.
I don't think it's feasable for them to announce a "5 year plan" sort of thing and then sit back for 4 more years of dreck.
2/09/07
Last edited by Ga_Red; 02-09-2007 at 02:52 AM.
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