There were 35 players who stole 20 or more bases in 2006. Attached is a list showing the outs made on the bases for these players with a % of outs made to steals plus outs made. The lower the % the more successful the baserunner. The normal rule of thumb is that a player should be successful about 75% of the time. This rule does not take pick-offs into account. Using this rule with pick-offs included suggests that only the top 17 or about half of these guys should be running.
Code:Rank NAME OBP SB CS PKOFF outs outs % 1 Jimmy Rollins 0.334 36 4 0 4 10.0% 2 Chris Duffy 0.317 26 1 2 3 10.3% 3 Ichiro Suzuki 0.370 45 2 5 7 13.5% 4 Coco Crisp 0.317 22 4 0 4 15.4% 5 Orlando Cabrera 0.335 27 3 2 5 15.6% 6 Br Phillips 0.324 25 2 3 5 16.7% 7 Carl Crawford 0.348 58 9 4 13 18.3% 8 Dave Roberts 0.360 49 6 6 12 19.7% 9 Kenny Lofton 0.360 32 5 3 8 20.0% 10 David Wright 0.381 20 5 0 5 20.0% 11 Derek Jeter 0.417 34 5 4 9 20.9% 12 Corey Patterson 0.314 45 9 3 12 21.1% 13 Eric Byrnes 0.313 25 3 4 7 21.9% 14 Josh Barfield 0.318 21 5 1 6 22.2% 15 Felipe Lopez 0.358 44 12 1 13 22.8% 16 Bobby Abreu 0.424 30 6 3 9 23.1% 17 Hanley Ramirez 0.353 51 15 2 17 25.0% 18 Omar Vizquel 0.361 24 7 2 9 27.3% 19 Chone Figgins 0.336 52 16 4 20 27.8% 20 Brian Roberts 0.347 36 7 7 14 28.0% 21 Jose Reyes 0.354 64 17 8 25 28.1% 22 Rafael Furcal 0.369 37 13 2 15 28.8% 23 Grady Sizemore 0.375 22 6 3 9 29.0% 24 Juan Pierre 0.330 58 20 6 26 31.0% 25 Joey Gathright 0.321 22 9 2 11 33.3% 26 Johnny Damon 0.359 25 10 3 13 34.2% 27 Julio Lugo 0.341 24 9 4 13 35.1% 28 Willy Taveras 0.333 33 9 9 18 35.3% 29 Mike Cameron 0.355 25 9 5 14 35.9% 30 Luis Castillo 0.358 25 11 3 14 35.9% 31 Ryan Freel 0.363 37 11 10 21 36.2% 32 Alfonso Soriano 0.351 41 17 7 24 36.9% 33 Carlos Guillen 0.400 20 9 3 12 37.5% 34 Scott Podsednik 0.331 40 19 11 30 42.9% 35 Alfredo Amezaga 0.332 20 12 3 15 42.9%