As we sit and wait, not so patiently, for the Reds to make roster improvements for the upcoming season. I thought I'd take a look at what kind of record we might expect from the Reds for this upcoming season with their current roster. I used Dan Szymborski's ZIPS projections from the Baseball Think Factory site, http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/ , for the projection. The following are the results.
Pyth. WP W L
.475 77 85
The current Reds roster projects to about a 77-85 season. That's actually better than I was expecting. A similar projection before last season produced about a 84-78 record. It'll be interesting to see how any upcoming moves affect the projection. Here's hoping we see some positive moves made before the season starts, or I fear it's going to be a long disappointing season for us Reds fans.Code:Name BA OBP SLG AB RC Dunn,Adam .259 .382 .536 556 114 Phillips,Brandon .266 .320 .405 511 66 Hatteberg,Scott .270 .360 .398 460 66 Encarnacion,Edwin .275 .351 .489 454 78 Gonzalez,Alex .245 .293 .390 449 51 Freel,Ryan .265 .361 .376 441 60 Griffey Jr. ,Ken .270 .342 .506 423 73 Denorfia,Chris .287 .353 .440 418 65 Conine,Jeff .266 .333 .394 406 53 Castro,Juan .240 .277 .351 262 25 Moeller,Chad .206 .266 .314 223 19 Ross,Dave .234 .326 .482 197 31 Valentin,Javier .256 .326 .446 195 28 Hamilton,Josh .261 .305 .412 165 21 Keppinger,Jeff .286 .338 .360 50 6 Pitchers .142 .164 .204 309 10 Totals .254 .330 .417 5519 759 Name ERA G GS INN R Arroyo,Bronson 3.86 34 32 212 100 Harang,Aaron 4.03 33 33 210 103 Milton,Eric 4.96 31 31 178 107 Lohse,Kyle 4.96 35 27 167 101 Santos,Victor 5.08 26 20 124 77 Belisle,Matt 4.95 42 13 109 66 Majewski,Gary 4.21 69 1 77 39 Coffey,Todd 4.04 70 0 69 34 Weathers,David 5.35 66 0 69 45 Stanton,Mike 3.71 68 0 68 30 Shackelford,Brian 4.81 62 0 58 34 Cormier,Rheal 4.89 68 0 57 34 Bray,Bill 4.79 42 0 47 27 Totals 4.53 646 157 1445 797
