I agree with your take Puffy. I think it depends on what a team needs for Ginn to be selected. Ginn is a complimentary player in the NFL, a great number 2 reciever. A Homerun hitter, who can stretch the field and run back kicks. Not really the same role that someone like Calvin Johnson or Dwayne Jarrett will have.
Ginn may not be able to go full speed on his ankle until April. His stock will slide, how quickly he gets his speed back, will determine his final spot.