So last night on XM, Holden Kushner is talking about "Generation Next." That is the group of players that will carry MLB for the next ten years or so the way Griffey, Glavine, Maddux, and Sosa had for the past ten years. So I call in to give some love for Dunn. I say:
"In ten years we'll be talking about Dunn hitting 500-600 HR's. I know everyone complains about him striking out a lot, but he gets on base, plays 160 games a year, and produces."
Holden then hangs up on me and starts to talk about Dunn. Although he agreed that he would take him on his Gen Next team, he says that he wished "Adam Dunn would be more patient. He doesn't get on base enough." He then looked up his stats and noted he was at 198 HR's already and a .380 OBP (did not note that 380 is well above league avg).
He then says, "Dunn is a lot like Rob Deer." I wanted to call back immediately to ask if he was insane. Rob Deer was awful! He NEVER scored more than 75 runs in a season, walked 80+ times twice (Dunn has done that 4 out of 6 seasons), Deer never drove in 90 runs (Dunn has done that three times). The only comparisons are Avg, HR, and K's. This was the most amateur comparison I've ever heard. I wanted to hurl.
Here are the averages for a 162 game season:
.245/.380/.513/.893 39 HR 102 runs 113 BB 92 RBI
.220/.324/.442/.766 32 HR 81 runs 81 BB 84 RBI
Deer played 7 full seasons, because everyone knew, the ability to ONLY hit a HR was not good enough to play in the ML level. This was so dissapointing.