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Thread: I can't believe we're considered to be this bad....

  1. 03-08-2007, 11:50 PM #31
    DoogMinAmo
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    Re: I can't believe we're considered to be this bad....

    Quote Originally Posted by gonelong View Post
    Perception is a funny thing.

    Last year 132 predictions were given before opening day. By my calculations the Redszoners xpected 76.66 Ws on average.

    The Reds finished with 80 actual Ws and a 76-86 Pythagorean record.

    This was before the emergence of Arroyo, Ross, or Phillips. If anything, the site was relatively optimistic, as always.

    2006 Predictions - RZ Avg Ws: 76.66 Actual: 80 PTHG: 76
    2005 Predictions - RZ Avg Ws: 84.67 Actual: 73 PTHG: 75
    2004 Predictions - RZ Avg Ws 76.82 Actual: 76 PTHG: 67
    2003 Predictions - RZ Avg Ws 87.88 Actual: 69 PTHG: 63
    2002 Predictions - RZ Avg Ws 79.71 Actual: 75 PTHG: 63

    This site has always been a tad optimistic and likely always will. After all, its made up of Reds fans.

    GL
    Seems like Redszone is a closer predictor of wins than Pythag in even years only.

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  3. 03-08-2007, 11:53 PM #32
    George Anderson
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    Re: I can't believe we're considered to be this bad....

    Quote Originally Posted by CINCYREDS#1 View Post
    sportsbooks dont know any more than the TV sports analysists or weathermen
    Next time I will tell my accountant that.
    "Boys, I'm one of those umpires that misses 'em every once in a while so if it's close, you'd better hit it." Cal Hubbard
  4. 03-09-2007, 12:22 AM #33
    dsmith421
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    Re: I can't believe we're considered to be this bad....

    Quote Originally Posted by CINCYREDS#1 View Post
    sportsbooks dont know any more than the TV sports analysists or weathermen
    Fascinating analysis. How do you suppose that all the books in Vegas and Reno stay open, seeing as how they're throwing darts at a wall?

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