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Thread: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

  1. #136
    Member WVRedsFan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2000
    Rainelle, WV

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    79 wins.

    I actually think 86, but every year I get optimistic and predict a big year. I've got to change that luck!
    "You only have to bat a thousand in two things; flying and heart transplants. Everything else you can go 4-for-5."
    -Beano Cook

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  3. #137
    BobC, get a legit F.O.! Mario-Rijo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Springfield, Ohio

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Last years final standings:

    Central W L PCT GB
    St. Louis 83 78 .516 -
    Houston 82 80 .506 1.5
    Cincinnati 80 82 .494 3.5
    Milwaukee 75 87 .463 8.5
    Pittsburgh 67 95 .414 16.5
    Chicago 66 96 .407 17.5

    Trend in the division: More offense, Less pitching

    Key addition's per team: (Most Impact adds in Red)

    St. Louis - Adam Kennedy/Kip Wells

    Houston - Carlos Lee/Mark Loretta/Jason Jennings/Woody Williams

    Cincinnati - Alex Gonzales/Jeff Conine/Josh Hamilton/Kirk Sarloos/Mike Stanton

    Milwaukee - Tony Graffinino/Craig Counsell/Johnny Estrada/Jeff Suppan/Claudio Vargas/Greg Aquino/Elmer Dessens

    Pittsburgh - Adam Laroche/Tony Armas Jr.

    Chicago - Alfonso Soriano/Cliff Floyd/Mark Derosa/Daryle Ward/Ted Lilly/Jason Marquis/Neal Cotts

    Key Defections:

    St. Louis - Jeff Suppan, Jeff Weaver, Ron Belliard
    Houston - Roger Clemens, Andy Pettite, Aubrey Huff
    Cincinnati - Rich Aurilia
    Milwaukee - Jeff Cirillo, Brady Clark, Doug Davis
    Pittsburgh - Joe Randa, Mike Gonzales
    Chicago - Juan Pierre

    Key Injury returnee's: (These are just possible returnees)

    St. Louis - Mark Mulder
    Houston - Morgan Ensberg
    Cincinnati - Ken Griffey Jr
    Milwaukee - Ben Sheets, Corey Koskie
    Pittsburgh - NA
    Chicago - Derek Lee, Mark Prior, Kerry Wood

    What's it all mean:

    St. Louis: Worse (Rotation and/or Pen)
    Houston: Worse (Rotation and defense doesn't make up for offense adds)
    Cincinnati: Same to better (Better def., better bench may make up for poss small decline in pitching overall)
    Milwaukee: Much Better (Better Staff and Pen, Same Off, similiar to better D)
    Pittsburgh: Slightly better (1 yr of maturity for pitch, better off, sim def)
    Chicago: Much better but 20-25 games better no (better off, worse def. same to worse pitching)

    2007 Standings: (Injuries not withstanding)

    Milwaukee - 88 wins
    Cincinnati - 86 wins
    St. Louis - 81 Wins
    Chicago - 80 wins
    Pittsburgh - 76 Wins
    Houston - 72 wins
    "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one."

    --Woody Hayes

  4. #138
    Join Date
    Jan 2005

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    I think it's going to be tightly bunched again this season. Reds get 85 wins, and it might be enough to win. The only team that won't be in it is Pittsburgh. Everyone else stays in it until Sept.
    Semper Ubi Sub Ubi

  5. #139
    Rally Onion! Chip R's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2000
    Cincinnati, OH

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    81 wins 81 losses
    The Rally Onion wants 150 fans before Opening Day.


  6. #140
    Member VR's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2000
    Vancouver, Wa

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...


    Dunn, MVP
    Harang Cy Candidate
    Ross big year
    Griff traded
    Baseball is like church. Many attend, few understand

  7. #141
    Will post for food BuckeyeRedleg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Dublin, OH

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...


  8. #142
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Radford, Virginia

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    89-73 for me

  9. #143
    Member Crosley68's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2000
    West Virginia

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Let's play two!!!

  10. #144
    Beer is good!! George Anderson's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2006

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by Razor Shines View Post
    I'll go the highest so far and say 98 wins......you were all counting spring training right?

    Well having watched "The "Price is Right" for years, I am going to top ya by one.

    I will go for 99 wins.....Your old coach is sorry about doin that to ya Ryan!!

    Yea 99 wins sounds crazy, but no one will remember my prediction 5 months from now and if the Reds do by some miracle have 99 wins, I will look like a freaking genius!!!
    "Boys, I'm one of those umpires that misses 'em every once in a while so if it's close, you'd better hit it." Cal Hubbard

  11. #145
    Member of the Fab Five WrongVerb's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2000
    Vallejo, CA

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    72-90 this season

    One of the better predictors of how the season will go is the final 10-ish games of spring training (I used the final 12), when rotations are being set and everyday lineups are being used more often and for longer periods. Reds went 5-7 in that period. Extrapolated over a full season that means 68 or so wins. I think the Reds are a tad better than that so I'm saying 72 wins this year.
    The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. -- Terrance Mann (Field of Dreams)

  12. #146
    Join Date
    May 2006

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    86 wins

  13. #147
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Lebanon, OH

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    84 wins
    R.I.P Farney 12/22/2012

  14. #148
    You're being very UnDude. sonny's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Columbus, OH

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...


    79 wins

    ignore my signature
    Witty signature.

  15. #149
    Little Reds BandWagon Reds Nd2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2003

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    77 wins.
    And that's being optimistic.
    "...You just have a wider lens than one game."
    --Former Reds GM Wayne Krivsky, on why he didn't fly Josh Hamilton to Colorado for one game.

    "...its money well-spent. Don't screw around with your freedom."
    --Roy Tucker, on why you need to lawyer up when you find yourself swimming with sharks.

  16. #150
    Join Date
    Apr 2007

    Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...


    Good for Narron's first winning season as a manager and a 3 year contract extension.

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