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Thread: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

  1. #1
    The Boss dougdirt's Avatar
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    Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    First lets take note of what Votto is currently hitting

    .174/.321/.304

    Compared to last years line of

    .319/.408/.547

    I was curious as to what was going on with his early struggles so I decided to look into why.

    Now before I start let me preface this by saying EXTREME SMALL SAMPLE SIZE DISEASE

    Code:
                               2006  2007   Difference 
    GB Hit percentage          24.5  20.0     -4.5 
    FB Hit percentage          39.3  28.5    -10.8 
    LD Hit Percentage          77.4  37.5    -39.9 
    K Percentage               18.5  28.0     +9.5


    Joey is getting fewer hits to fall in last year than he was last year, specifically in the air outs he is getting. He is also striking out quite a bit more this year. I think that as the season goes on though things will start to even themselves out a little bit and his numbers will rise.

    Now lets say his percentages stayed the same as last year, it would have already added 6 more hits, and put his batting average at .282 with an on base percentage of .429. Joey has just been a little unlucky compared to maybe a little lucky last season.
    Last edited by dougdirt; 04-20-2007 at 01:28 PM. Reason: Forgot something

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  3. #2
    part of BBN jmac's Avatar
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    I am sure Votto has heard everyone say he will be in cincy by next year so he is probably pressing.
    Maybe not at the start but after a slow start, he probably began to press.

  4. #3
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    He needs to relax, and his talent will make sure he is in Cincinnati.

  5. #4
    Posting in Dynarama M2's Avatar
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    This is why players don't jump from AA to the majors with ease. AAA is a big step up and the majors is a huge step up from that. Baseball is a hard game and the degree of difficulty rises with each new level. What those numbers indicate to me is that maybe Votto isn't getting good swings at the ball because the pitchers have been able to keep him off balance (AAA tends to be crafty level).

    I'm sure he'll adjust and start taking better rips as time goes on. He'll probably need a full season to master this level and he'll probably face similar adjustments his first full year in the majors. It doesn't mean he won't be a good player, it just means he's still got a good bit to learn.
    Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong

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  6. #5
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    First lets take note of what Votto is currently hitting

    .174/.321/.304

    Compared to last years line of

    .319/.408/.547



    Now before I start let me preface this by saying EXTREME SMALL SAMPLE SIZE DISEASE
    Good point (and good analysis too)
    After a game he jumped to .210/.359/.403

    Another OK game today (1-3 w/ a double and a bb) should have the OPS above 8....hope his struggles are behind him.
    Last edited by VR; 04-25-2007 at 06:18 PM.
    Baseball is like church. Many attend, few understand

  7. #6
    The Boss dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    he is actually at .766 with a .366 OBP and a .400 Slugging percentage

  8. #7
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    he is actually at .766 with a .366 OBP and a .400 Slugging percentage
    After today?

    I got him at .415 SLG...(27 bases....65 ab's)
    Baseball is like church. Many attend, few understand

  9. #8
    The Boss dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    He only has 26 total bases.

  10. #9
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    Re: Reasons for Joey Votto's early struggles

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    He only has 26 total bases.
    ahh, I thought he hit a double today, only a single. thanks.
    Baseball is like church. Many attend, few understand


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