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Thread: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

  1. #1
    No half measures, Walter RedEye's Avatar
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    Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/column...t&lid=tab2pos1

    I know one month is a small sample size, but Jayson Stark raises some interesting points here...

    We looked at every full season since 1982. Here's what we found:

    • Of the 144 teams that made it to the postseason in that span, only eight (or 5.6 percent) came out of April more than three games under .500. Clubs that need to worry most about that history lesson: the Yankees (9-14), Astros (10-14), Cardinals (10-14), Cubs (10-14) and Rangers (10-15).

    • Just six of those 144 playoff teams (or 4.2 percent) found themselves more than 4½ games out of a playoff spot after April. Clubs that ought to get nervous about that trend: the Cubs, Cardinals and Astros (all five games out).

    • And you wouldn't think the standings would mean much this time of year. But more than half of the 120 teams that found themselves in first place after April (66 of 120) wound up finishing first. And 98 of the 120 (81.7 percent) of the teams that finished the season in first place either led their division or were within 2½ games of the lead at the end of April.
    "Iíll kind of have a foot on the back of my own butt. Thatís just how I do things.Ē -- Bryan Price, 10/22/2013

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  3. #2
    Reds 5:11 coachw513's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    I found the numbers striking...it's an interesting "line in the sand" so to speak...bet Steinbrenner was thrilled to see the news


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  4. #3
    Churlish Johnny Footstool's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    This kind of blows away the theory that "April doesn't matter". It does matter, to a degree.
    "I prefer books and movies where the conflict isn't of the extreme cannibal apocalypse variety I guess." Redsfaithful

  5. #4
    You know his story Redsland's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    They all matter the same, says 1999.
    Makes all the routine posts.

  6. #5
    The Lineups stink. KronoRed's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    the Cubs, Cardinals and Astros already done?

    Woohoo!
    Go Gators!

  7. #6
    Designated Threadkiller LincolnparkRed's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    And 98 of the 120 (81.7 percent) of the teams that finished the season in first place either led their division or were within 2½ games of the lead at the end of April.
    We unfortunately were part of the 18.3 percent last year, 3.5 games out after leading the division in April.
    Climbing down from the bridge, but keeping the torch lit until Dusty's fate is settled

  8. #7
    This one's for you Edd Heath's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    The Milwaukee Brewers. 2007 National League Central Division Champions.
    Some people play baseball. Baseball plays Jay Bruce.

  9. #8
    This one's for you Edd Heath's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    Quote Originally Posted by Redsland View Post
    They all matter the same, says 1999.
    ..and 1975...
    Some people play baseball. Baseball plays Jay Bruce.

  10. #9
    Rally Onion! Chip R's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    I think looking at it since 1982 is flawed. Shouldn't he be looking at it from when they initiated the wild card and/or went to 3 divisions? I don't know if it would make much of a difference but you have more of a shot at the playoffs with 2 wild cards and 2 more divisions.
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  11. #10
    Just The Big Picture macro's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    Quote Originally Posted by Chip R View Post
    I think looking at it since 1982 is flawed. Shouldn't he be looking at it from when they initiated the wild card and/or went to 3 divisions? I don't know if it would make much of a difference but you have more of a shot at the playoffs with 2 wild cards and 2 more divisions.
    Excellent point! Mixing the two eras kinda skews the results.

  12. #11
    Just The Big Picture macro's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    Quote Originally Posted by LincolnparkRed View Post
    We unfortunately were part of the 18.3 percent last year, 3.5 games out after leading the division in April.
    No, notice that it says "of the 120 teams that finished the season in first place". The Reds didn't finish the season in first place.

  13. #12
    Designated Threadkiller LincolnparkRed's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    Quote Originally Posted by macro View Post
    No, notice that it says "of the 120 teams that finished the season in first place". The Reds didn't finish the season in first place.
    Well if reading is fundamental cosider me the Dusty Baker of redzoners
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  14. #13
    Member Marc D's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    Quote Originally Posted by LincolnparkRed View Post
    Well if reading is fundamental cosider me the Dusty Baker of redzoners

    You wear wristbands when you read?

  15. #14
    2009: Fail Ltlabner's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    Wow. That was a short season. Guess we can all go home now.
    a super volcano of ridonkulous suckitude.

    I simply don't have access to a "cares about RBI" place in my psyche. There is a "mildly curious about OBI%" alcove just before the acid filled lake guarded by robot snipers with lasers which leads to the "cares about RBI" antechamber though. - Nate

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    Churlish Johnny Footstool's Avatar
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    Re: Good thing we finished April 12-13, eh?

    Quote Originally Posted by Ltlabner View Post
    Wow. That was a short season. Guess we can all go home now.
    The point is that you can't toss away wins in April and expect to make them up later. Teams that end up in the playoffs tend to play decent ball in April as well as over the course of the season.
    "I prefer books and movies where the conflict isn't of the extreme cannibal apocalypse variety I guess." Redsfaithful


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