Jeez you guys can be pedantic. My point is to refute the point that teams don't churn out ace-level arms with some regularity; some do. Having one Homer Bailey is nice, but really, again, it's one arm--one pitch away from a rotator cuff tear.
Fans seem to want to almost will Bailey to be more than he might be. You never know, Bailey's ceiling may just be a Lowry--which is to say, a roaring success. It's really hard to be a great MLB pitcher.
im sorry, but noah lowry is not a #2. its that simple.
"I hate SF."
However, the reverse is also true with pitching -- sometimes it is a who-cares round draft pick that ends up putting it all together and becoming an effective #3 or #4 man in a rotation. Develop a few of those and all of sudden you don't have to hit the FA market agressively looking to pay the Jeff Suppans of the world $40 million dollars for marginally above average production in the middle of a rotation.
The key, as with anything in baseball, is acquiring as many good, talented arms as possible. I think Doug is right in his assessment that the Reds finally seem to be doing that -- there are quite a few guys in this system that have pitching talent. I like the fact that there are a couple of projectable relievers in AA. They, like the #3/#4 prospects, are the guys that save you money and headaches looking for people like them in FA. History tells us the majority of them are going to hit a ceiling or flame out before they throw one major league inning -- but the more you have the better your chances of beating the odds.
I think you're right to say that its foolish to say Homer Bailey solves the Reds problems -- but he is a step in the right direction and I certainly wouldn't hold it against him that he's the best of what's around.
23 Years and Counting...