1. Devil Rays David Price LHP Vanderbilt
This one's in the bag. There's no deal done but the parameters discussed will work for both sides.
2. Royals Josh Vitters 3B Cypress (Calif.) HS
The Royals seem to have switched focus in the last few days; it's looking very likely that they'll take a high school player, and they still haven't ruled out taking a Boras client. The Royals say that they haven't made a final decision yet, but there's a strong sentiment that they've settled or are close to settling on Vitters and will move him to first base.
3. Cubs Matt Dominguez 3B Chatsworth (Calif.) HS
The Cubs were hoping for Vitters, but he may be gone. They would love to take Wieters, but they can't spend that kind of coin. Tim Wilken typically likes to take top-flight high school hitters in the first round, and Dominguez would be the best one on the board. The Cubs also have serious interest in Jarrod Parker, but they're leaning towards taking a position player.
4. Pirates Ross Detwiler LHP Missouri State
The Pirates were really hoping for Vitters, but Detwiler has been a target for them for weeks. They flew Dominguez in for a workout earlier this week. Pittsburgh could also cut a deal and sign catcher Devin Mesoraco at a discount.
5. Orioles Phillippe Aumont RHP Ecole secondaire du Versant, Gatineau, Quebec
Baltimore's choice is down to Aumont and a college player, assumed to be Wieters. However, ownership has hinted that they may mandate the selection of a college pitcher -- just as they did the year the O's took Wade Townsend and lowballed him. If Detwiler is gone, their options will be limited.
6. Nationals Mike Moustakas SS Chatsworth (Calif.) HS
Most folks I've talked to have this pick as more or less of a lock. Here's my question: If Washington believes that Rick Porcello is the best player in the draft (as I've been told), but that they can't sign him, why would they take Moustakas when his price tag is the same as Porcello's? They're also interested in Daniel Moskos, who would make more sense if they don't want to go way over slot.
7. Brewers Matt Wieters C/RHP Georgia Tech
This isn't a lock, but Milwaukee likes Wieters and needs a catching prospect, anyway. Their top alternatives are Dominguez and Moustakas. Milwaukee's worst-case scenario has Wieters, Dominguez, and Moustakas all gone, in which case they'd look at a deal with Devin Mesoraco.
8. Rockies Jason Heyward CF Henry County HS, McDonough, Ga.
Colorado flew Aumont in for a workout and he threw well, but even if Aumont gets here, they're more likely to go with Heyward or Moskos.
9. Diamondbacks Daniel Moskos LHP Clemson
Moskos is atop Arizona's realistic list for this pick, just ahead of Jarrod Parker and a bit more ahead of Nick Schmidt. Arizona would put Moskos in the bullpen and move him through their system quickly; a lot of teams are concerned that even though Moskos has three and possibly four average pitches, his physique isn't suited for starting.
10. Giants Jarrod Parker RHP Norwell HS, Ossian, Ind.
Expect San Francisco to take a premium arm here, especially since most of them will still be on the board for this pick. Parker is the best non-Boras prep arm in the draft and has a case to be the best overall.
11. Mariners Nick Schmidt LHP Arkansas
Seattle is looking at Schmidt and closer Casey Weathers; either way, their plan is to rush the player to the big leagues, possibly as soon as Labor Day.
12. Marlins Madison Bumgarner LHP South Caldwell HS, Hudson, N.C.
Bumgarner is one of the hot names of the moment, sitting at or near the top of the boards for Florida, Cleveland and Atlanta. Florida would love it if Aumont reached them, and they also like Parker.
13. Indians Blake Beavan RHP Irving (Texas) HS
Cleveland is also keeping its options open, with Bumgarner and Beavan high on their lists, as well as Moskos and Beau Mills.
14. Braves Josh Smoker LHP Calhoun (Ga.) HS
Atlanta would prefer to get Bumgarner here, but I don't see that happening. Smoker's reduced velocity in his last two starts has scared away a number of teams.
15. Reds Casey Weathers RHP Vanderbilt
The Reds may have to go with a college pitcher here; they like Moskos and Schmidt, but both will be gone as will Beavan. They also like Julio Borbon here.
16. Blue Jays Beau Mills 3B/1B Lewis-Clark State
The Jays are looking above them and noticing that someone's likely to fall; if the Reds go with Borbon, the Jays could take Weathers here instead.
17. Rangers Tim Alderson RHP Horizon HS, Scottsdale, Ariz.
Texas would love to get Beavan here, and they might go with another high school arm instead, such as Alderson. I've heard Chris Withrow linked to them, but that's probably for the sandwich round.
18. Cardinals Matt Harvey RHP Fitch HS, Groton, Conn.
Harvey's price tag, while above slot, isn't in the stratosphere like Porcello's is. Expect St. Louis to take a high school player or a high-risk/high-reward college guy in the first, then to draft more conservatively after that.
19. Phillies Michael Burgess RHP/RF Hillsborough HS, Tampa, Fla.
No big changes here. Top alternative is Mesoraco. They would consider Mills and make him a left fielder.
20. Dodgers Travis Mattair OF Southridge HS, Kennewick, Wash.
The Dodgers have been in on a number of top high school players, including Mesoraco, Bumgarner, Beavan and Derek Norris, but Mattair appears to have moved up their lists, especially after having a very strong workout at their stadium over the weekend.
21. Blue Jays Peter Kozma SS Owasso (Okla.) HS
The Blue Jays appear to be focused on acquiring a shortstop with one of their top three picks, and Kozma has moved ahead of Nick Noonan on their board.
22. Giants Aaron Poreda LHP San Francisco
Poreda has been tied to the Giants for a long time just because he pitches in their backyard, but they legitimately like the tall left-hander, who is near the top of the college board in velocity.
23. Padres James Simmons RHP UC Riverside
The Pads are on a small set of college arms here. Poreda may be their top guy, but he's probably gone. James Adkins is also a possibility.
24. Rangers Julio Borbon CF Tennessee
Texas could take Borbon at 17, but it's not likely he'll go between their picks, so look for them to play the board a little bit and try to nab him here. I've heard they're on Withrow -- a Texas high school pitcher -- but that's probably not until the sandwich round.
25. White Sox Nick Noonan SS Parker HS, San Diego
The White Sox are looking to emphasize up-the-middle players and arms. Alderson is a top choice, but he doesn't seem likely to get here.
26. Athletics James Adkins LHP Tennessee
The surprise here is that they're considering Joe Savery, a starting pitcher from Rice who's already had one shoulder operation and who, like other Rice pitchers, has been worked very hard when he wasn't hurt.
27. Tigers Andrew Brackman RHP North Carolina State
Detroit hasn't shied away from big-ticket players in recent years, going over slot in three of the last four first rounds -- and they also have a working relationship with Boras. They haven't gone in heavy for high school arms, so while they might consider Porcello, Brackman's a little more likely.
28. Twins Drew Cumberland SS Pace HS, Milton, Fla.
Minnesota is on several raw high school players, but Cumberland appears to be gaining favor because he's not as raw as Will Middlebrooks or John Gilmore. Cumberland is a plus runner who has had a hamstring problem for most of the last month.
29. Giants Wendell Fairley OF/RHP George County HS, Lucedale, Miss.
Fairley also played in the All-American game; he has a great, easy swing, and should hit for big power. This is a top-half of the first round talent falling because of some makeup concerns, but it's a potential steal for whoever takes him low.
30. Yankees Rick Porcello
RHP Seton Hall Prep, West Orange, N.J.
I think the Yankees are just waiting to see who falls to them, and if it's a Boras client and they have to pay over slot, so be it. If they don't take Porcello or Brackman, they might look at college catching.