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Thread: Oh man...an "ah-ha" moment regarding 2008

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    2009: Fail Ltlabner's Avatar
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    May 2006

    Oh man...an "ah-ha" moment regarding 2008

    I took a look at our current normal starting line up guys compared to the rest of MLB (AL and NL). What you see below is the ranking of our guys, sorted by VORP decending (150PA's).

    POS  Rank YEAR  NAME             AGE  OBP  SLG  ISO  VORP   EqA 
    C    28.  2007  David Ross       30  .251 .407 .211  -3.0  .217 
    1    11.  2007  Scott Hatteberg  37  .409 .493 .175  19.1  .297 
    2    9.   2007  Brandon Phillips 26  .323 .480 .205  17.0  .270 
    3    22.  2007  Edwin E.         24  .353 .391 .121  6.3   .263 
    SS   19.  2007  Alex Gonzalez    30  .295 .443 .195  5.5   .247 
    LF   5.   2007  Adam Dunn        27  .356 .549 .291  22.7  .296 
    CF   9.   2007  Josh Hamilton    26  .371 .543 .264  18.5  .298 
    RF   3.   2007  Ken Griffey Jr.  37  .390 .568 .282  30.8  .315
    At first glance it's not a totally dismal picture. 4 of the 8 are top 10 in all of baseball (this is offense only, obviously). Hatte just missed the cut, Edwin is in a sophmore slump and likely to rebound next year and while Ross sucks canal water at the plate he's likely to produce something (albiet a small something) over time by crushing mistake pitches and throwing out baseruners.

    However, looking forward things start to get murky quick.

    1B: Hatte is having a carear year. He's 37 and counting on this for a 3rd year would be foolhardy at best. Sell, sell, sell. But will Votto fill the void or flopola. Better get him up here toute sweet now so April 2nd, 2008 isn't his first at bat. If Votto flops...?

    3B: I'm assuming EE rebounds from his extreemly slow start. But if he doesn't.....? Not to many folks in the pipeline.

    SS: I can live with Gonzo until a lot of other problems are adressed. But if he is injured? Janish? Keppinger? (gasp.....) Castro?

    RF: Love Jr. Love his stellar year. Love that he's finally healthy and enjoying himself. Love that he's chasing down 600 HR. Counting on him (1) being healthy in 2008 (2) producing the same numbers in 2008 or (3) even being with the team in 2008 is also foolhardy. If he's gone I'm assuming you slide Hamilton over and start Freel in CF ? Yuck.

    CF: Hamilton...feal good story. I think we are starting to see a pattern. Will his body be able to withstand the riggors of an MLB schedule? He may be in tip-top shape now, but will all of those years of chemical abuse prevent him from playing a full year? If he goes down you start who in CF? Hopper? Freel? Hardly a long term soultion.

    LF: Dunn. I hope we see him back in 2008. I also hope he doesn't start a slide towards Kevin Maas implosion around then. But if he is traded or his knees start to give out? Who goes into LF and gives you those sorts of numbers?

    Of corse all of the other teams face the same issues. I'm not aware of any MLB team that has a all-MLB ready AAA team stashed away. But the cubbard is pretty dang bare here, and Wayne's had the benefit of mostly healthy players.

    I don't want this to be a doom & gloom post (I doubt I would be accused of that anyway). But being slow, the lightbulb just went off in my head that Wayne has a serrious mountain to climb. There is a nice core of youth to build around, but Wayne has to be basically perfect in any moves he makes in the next 3 weeks as his margin for error is nill.

    And none of this adresses the pitching, which is what's really bringing us down.
    Last edited by Ltlabner; 07-09-2007 at 03:10 PM.
    a super volcano of ridonkulous suckitude.

    I simply don't have access to a "cares about RBI" place in my psyche. There is a "mildly curious about OBI%" alcove just before the acid filled lake guarded by robot snipers with lasers which leads to the "cares about RBI" antechamber though. - Nate

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