Turn Off Ads?
Results 1 to 2 of 2

Thread: The Reds and other 2nd half projections courtesy of pythag

  1. #1
    Will post for food BuckeyeRedleg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Dublin, OH

    The Reds and other 2nd half projections courtesy of pythag

    Current record: 36-52.....pace: 66-96

    -4.5 games below 1st order pythag...40.5-47.6...pace: 75-87
    -7.0 games below 2nd order pythag...43-45...pace: 79-83
    -5.2 games below 3rd order pythag...41.2-46.8...pace: 76-86

    In summary, this team is not as bad as their record suggests. They are about what we expected them to be. In fact, they are probably better than my pre-season prediction of 74-88, but I knew the pythag would get back at them for their luck last year and they would play a tad below it. I just didn't expect them to possibly play this far below it. For all the gnashing of teeth this year, they are about what many of us expected, including many that are the most vocal. I guess I could live with a season like this had Krivsky not gone out and filled the roster with retreads Chad Moeller, Mike Stanton, Rheal Cormier, Juan Castro, etc.

    The only other teams that have been as "unlucky" as the Reds are:

    Most unlucky:

    1. Yankees (-7.3, -6.4, -7.6).....Can they catch up? Catching the Indians (9 back) for the WC is their only shot, IMO.
    2. Orioles (-4.1, -6.4, -7.6)...Put this team in the NL Central, remove their bad luck, and they'd probably be buyers at the deadline.
    3. Reds (-4.5, -7.0, -5.2)....A lot closer to a .500 team than most realize. If they kept their team intact (which I don't think they should do), I almost guarantee they would play above .500 the rest of the way.
    4. Giants (-5.3, -4.0, -5.2)...Old team is better than record suggests, but it really doesn't matter. Bonds is the only story.
    5. Athletics (-2.5, -5.3, -4.8)....Tough luck A's are the best in divison according to 2nd order and 3rd order. Need some typical A's 2nd half magic as they are 9 games back of the Angels with little hope of a WC.
    6. Cubs (-2.4, -3.9, -2.8)....I'll say it right now. I'm taking the Indians to beat the Mets or the Cubs to win it all in the WS.

    For the 2nd half, I predict the Cubs catch the Brewers and win the Central, with LA, and NYM winning their respective divisions and SD getting the WC. In the AL, I think Boston, Detroit, and Anaheim are division winners (I know, nice limb I've gone out on) and Cleveland will win the WC.

    I'll stick with my pre-season prediction of Indians over the Mets in 6 for the World Series, although I must say the Cubs intrigue me. Not much said about them and I'm just getting the vibe.
    Last edited by BuckeyeRedleg; 07-12-2007 at 12:22 PM.

  2. Turn Off Ads?
  3. #2
    Churlish Johnny Footstool's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
    Olathe, KS

    Re: The Reds and other 2nd half projections courtesy of pythag

    The Cubs have everything they need to win the division, as long as they don't remember that they're still the Cubs.
    "I prefer books and movies where the conflict isn't of the extreme cannibal apocalypse variety I guess." Redsfaithful

Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!

RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball

Contact us: Boss | GIK | cumberlandreds | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | RedsfaninMT | redsfan1995 | The Operator