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  1. #1
    Member texasdave's Avatar
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    Oct 2005

    Trade Joey Votto?

    On the major league roster the Reds currently have three players holding down the corner OF/1B positions. (Griffey, Dunn and Hatteberg) But with Joey Votto and Jay Bruce knocking on the door that is soon about to change. You can't plug a five-player peg into a three-position hole leaving the Reds with a surplus. This surplus is good for the Reds' organization. It gives them options. Trading one or more of these players is a reasonable option. I think ideally trading two of them is the way to go. An easy choice would be to deal away Scott Hatteberg. He is older and his value likely will never be higher. But who should be the second choice? I would find it very difficult to get rid of Jay Bruce. IMO his ceiling is simply too high. That leaves Griffey, Dunn and Votto. Now if I remember correctly the lesson to be learned from Moneyball is to take advantage of what is over-valued and under-valued in the ballplayer market place. The trend recently seems to be that top prospects are becoming over-valued. Teams seem to be very reluctant to give up their top prospects; so one would think that if a top-20 prospect was dangled there would be great interest in that prospect. This interest could likely drive up the return nicely. Couple this with the fact that there will be clubs willing to move proven talent for some level of salary relief, and WK would be smart to dangle Joey V. and see what sort of arms he could get in return. Then when Jay Bruce arrives in Cincinnati either Griffey or Dunn could be moved to first. And we all live happily ever after.
    Last edited by texasdave; 07-16-2007 at 12:13 PM.

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