I am aware there has been frequent references to trading Dunn and Griffey. There is a high probability one or both of our starting outfielders might not be on the team 2 years from now, so I have decided to create an exhaustive thread dedicated to the future prospects who might be taking their place in the outfield. I am aware some might put this thread in Minor League Report, but I decided to put it in The Sun Deck because all of these prospects have the potential(in my opinion) to one day be starting outfielders for the Cincinnati Reds. I will cover AAA to A the outfielders I think are playing well enough to one day start:
a. Jay Bruce- All Reds outfield prospects should start with Jay Bruce. I will quote 2 years stats for each prospect, , and then summarize. 2007:100 games, 394 AB,71 Runs,126 hits,36 doubles,8 triples,19 hrs,74 rbis,235 total bases, 38 bb, 102 so's, 6 sb, 6 cs, .320 BA,.380 OBP, .596 slugging
2006:117 games, 444 AB, 69 runs,129 hits, 42 2b, 5 3b,16 hr,81 rbi, 229 total bases,44 walks,106 strikeouts, 19 sb,9 cs, .355obp, .516 slg. It is clear Jay Bruce will be a starting outfielder in the Reds outfield fairly soon, but an objective critic could spot a few holes. He doesn't walk a whole lot, but he has a high OBP because of his outstanding BA. He also did not steal as much last year, as he did last year. 19 sb and 9 cs to 6 and 6 this year. Still , he would seem to be an outstanding player in the future.
This is taking longer than I thought, so I will create this thread in stages. I have done Jay Bruce tonight, so I will work on Chris Dickerson next time. Both of them have the potential in my opinion to be starters in Cincinnati fairly soon, but Chris is more a work in progress. It might take him several years at Louisville before he has developed enough to be a legitimate starting outfielder. I will start on Chris tonight by quoting this year's 2007 stats
b. Chris Dickerson: 2007-107 games, 373 Ab, 47 runs, 99 hits, 12 2b, 6 3b, 9 hr ,41 rbi, 150 tb, 46 bb, 129 so, 24 sb, ,.265 BA,.353 obp., .402 slg.
One final thing before I stop on Chris tonight: You may have noticed I never once mentioned OPS. There is a very good reason for this. I have previously mentioned I am not one to use this stat, so I will leave it to my readers(if any) to calculate OPS from OBP and Slugging.
2006-115 games, 389 AB, 65 runs, 94 hits,21 2b, 7 3b, 12 hrs, 48 rbi, 165 total bases, 65 walks, 129 strikeouts, 21 sb, 6 cs, .242 Ba,.355 obp, .424 slugging
Chris Dickerson is a very young outfielder(20 years) who has made it to AAA rather quick. He has progressed a lot from last year.He seems to be a hitter who is a good base runner(24 steals) but who strikes out too much(129 strikeouts already). He has raised his batting average to.265, and is a prospect who can become a leadoff hitter if he can learn to cut down on the strikeouts.I have also heard he is outstanding at defense.
2.AA- Sadly, we really have no true prospects at AA.
a. Daniel Dorn -This is a very talented prospect . I believe he will be a player to watch. He has already jumped from Billings to Sarasota, and before long should be at Chatanooga.
2007 stats: 89 games,327 ab,47 runs,93 hits,21 2b, 1 3b, 12 hrs,65 rbi, 152 total bases,30 walks, 66 so, 3 stolen bases, 1 cs, .361 obp, .284 BA,.465 slugging.
2006 stats- 60 games, 206 ab, 48 runs, 73 hits, 17 2b, 2 3b, 8 hr., 40 rbi, 118 total bases, 36 walks, 36 strikeouts,3 sb,.354 BA, .457 obp, .573 slugging. Of course, he spent 2006 at Billings
Summary: Daniel Dorn is a talented prospect who is quite a way from Cincinnati, but is a prospect to keep an eye on.
4. Dayton- There are really 2 prospects to keep an eye on. I will start with the one most of you will be familiar with
a. Drew Stubbs- Drew has really heated up lately, and has shown signs of the prospect we expected.
2007 stats- 97 games, 374 ab, 68 runs, 97 hits, 21 2b, 2 3b, 8 hr, 28 rbi, 146 tb, 58 walks, 113 strikeouts, 21 sb, 13 cs, .365 obp, .390 slg.,.259 BA. I am sure his injury this year hurt his numbers somewhat.
2006 stats-56 games, 210 ab, 39 runs, 53 hits, 7 2b, 3 3b, 6 hr, 24 rbi, 84 tb, 32 bb, 64 strikeouts, 19 sb, 4 cs, .368 obp, .252 ba, .400 slg.
Summary-We all gave up on him too early in 2006,including me. I am looking forward to what a healthy Stubbs will do in 2008
b. Chris Helsey - I will let his numbers speak for him.
2007- 101 games, 362 ab, 60 runs, 107 hits, 24 2b, 2 3b, 9 hr, 162 tb,25 bb, 55 strikeouts, 18 sb, 5 cs, .358 obp., .448 slg., .296 ba
2006- 70 games, 245 ab, 46 runs, 70 hits, 10 2b, 0 3b, 6 hr, 37 rbi, 28 bb, 33 so, 11 sb, 5 cs, .362 obp, .400 slg., .286 ba.
Summary- A good hitter who has shown some potential at his age.
These are some of the outfielders in the Reds minor league system who I have chosen to focus on, and I am sure some of you may have some other outfielders I have missed. I chose not to include Rookie level because the prospects are so far from the majors. I would be interested to hear whatever feedback you would like to include on my prospective outfiellders.