During the end of the Bowden years and then again during the O'Brien era, the reds seemed to evaluate starting pitchers by the number of wins the starting pitcher had a couple of years ago. We heard about it with Ramon Ortiz and Paul Wilson and Jimmy Haynes. "He was a 15 game winner two years ago" like that was an individual accomplishment and not a function of the quality of his teammates. As a predictor of future success that particular measurement didn't work out very well. Anybody who has played any fantasy game could have told them as much.
At it's root the whole moneyball idea is to find a place where the market for talent is undervalued and exploit that inefficiency. The A's looked for On Base Percentage which is the single most valuable offensive number and defense. The idea was that Your gus would get on base and not use outs on offense and on defense you would turn more of the balls in play into outs.
The reds on the other hand seem enamored with power. Cantu, Gill, Gonzales to a lesser degree Phillips....they're all decent enough players whose primary offensive value doesn't lie in their ability to get on base, but in their ability to drive the ball for extra bases. David Ross is in the same bin. His OBP is negligible. Almost all of his offensive value lies in his homers. Cody Ross was the same way.
Given that the offense already has Dunn and Junior and a park where even powerless players can crack out a homer now and then, is this a reasonable approach to building a team?