Turn Off Ads?
Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 15 of 57

Thread: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

Hybrid View

  1. #1
    Member dunner13's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Posts
    608

    Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Heres an article from Espn by Rob Neyer,

    3. ADAM DUNN: 10 percent

    Age: 27 | Career HRs: 228 | 2007 HRs: 30 | Profile

    Dunn comes out as the No. 3 home-run hitter in the majors, among active players? According to this method, he does. Since Opening Day of 2004, Dunn has hit 156 home runs. Only David Ortiz (161) and Pujols (160) have hit more. So why doesn't Dunn's name come up in Hall of Fame discussions? Because he's a "Three True Outcomes" guy. With Dunn, everything's a homer or a strikeout or a walk, and only one of those (the first one) is appreciated by the cognoscenti. But even if we assume that 500 homers is not a magic number (it's not), and neither is 600 (jury's still out), what about 700? Dunn's established a 24-percent chance of hitting 700 home runs. The key for Dunn always will be his batting average. As long as he can hit .240, he'll have a job. But considering that his career average is just .247, we might reasonably guess there are just too many .220 seasons in Dunn's future.

    Projected Total: 578


    Dunn takes alot of heat for his strikeouts but the bottom line is he may very well retire as one of the best homerun hitters of all time. I think that unless he suffers alot of injuries hes a lock for 500 homeruns and 600 or 700 are within reach. The two people picked in front of dunn as more likely to break the record are Pujols and Arod.
    Last edited by dunner13; 08-08-2007 at 05:26 PM.

  2. #2
    Senor Votto Degenerate39's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    7,918

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Whose first and second? I'm assuming A.Rod is number 1
    Most Vottomatic Player

  3. #3
    Member dunner13's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Posts
    608

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    1. Arod
    2. Pujols
    3. Dunn
    4. Ryan Howard
    5. Andruw Jones
    6. Ken Griffey Jr

  4. #4
    Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Omaha, NE
    Posts
    2,161

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    KGJ? He's more likely to have his leg fall off in the on-deck circle than break 755 HRs...

    It's A-ROds record to DESTROY, I'm guessing 850 if he wanted too...

    PEACE

    -BLEEDS

  5. #5
    Member mroby85's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Ohio
    Posts
    2,282

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Quote Originally Posted by BLEEDS View Post
    KGJ? He's more likely to have his leg fall off in the on-deck circle than break 755 HRs...

    It's A-ROds record to DESTROY, I'm guessing 850 if he wanted too...

    PEACE

    check that, it's 757 he has to break now, bonds just hit another, lol.
    -BLEEDS

  6. #6
    Member
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Location
    Blue Ash
    Posts
    2,616

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    I hope Junior goes to the AL eventually and stays healthy for another 5 years. He could hit 30 HR's per year and maybe catch Bonds. Is Barry done after this season?
    Who's on first?

  7. #7
    Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    chicago
    Posts
    904

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Bonds will play in 2008...he wants to get to 3,000 hits and has said so.
    Reds fan since 1970

  8. #8
    Retro-Gamer Krawhitham's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    1,733

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Quote Originally Posted by Chi-Town Red View Post
    Bonds will play in 2008...he wants to get to 3,000 hits and has said so.
    The Giants are going with a youth movement and have no spot for him. Only offer he got last offseason was the Giants

    He is DONE after this season

  9. #9
    Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    chicago
    Posts
    904

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Quote Originally Posted by Krawhitham View Post
    The Giants are going with a youth movement and have no spot for him. Only offer he got last offseason was the Giants

    He is DONE after this season
    someone will grab him to DH.. he will play next year
    Reds fan since 1970

  10. #10
    Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    Indianapolis
    Posts
    749

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Jr only had a 2 percent chance to beat Bonds while Dunn had a 10 percent chance. Arod was the highest at 48 percent I think.
    Whoever wants to know the heart and mind of America had better learn baseball - Jacques Barzun

  11. #11
    Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Posts
    1,040

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Dunn has no chance of breaking that record his swing is too huge and as he gets older hes going to have even more trouble making contact than he already does.

  12. #12
    Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    Indianapolis
    Posts
    749

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Quote Originally Posted by Muggerd View Post
    Dunn has no chance of breaking that record his swing is too huge and as he gets older hes going to have even more trouble making contact than he already does.
    Thanks for the insight. Now how do you possibly know what hes going to do? Saying he has no chance is stupid.
    Whoever wants to know the heart and mind of America had better learn baseball - Jacques Barzun

  13. #13
    Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Posts
    1,040

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Quote Originally Posted by mound_patrol View Post
    Thanks for the insight. Now how do you possibly know what hes going to do? Saying he has no chance is stupid.
    How do i know that he is going to get older and slower and that long sweeping swing of his isnt going to be as effective?

    Its because its just true. He doesnt have quick hands or a short swing.

    Im more realistic by saying he has no chance than you guys saying he does. Its possible sure but its one heck of a long shot.

  14. #14
    Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    Indianapolis
    Posts
    749

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Quote Originally Posted by Muggerd View Post
    How do i know that he is going to get older and slower and that long sweeping swing of his isnt going to be as effective?

    Its because its just true. He doesnt have quick hands or a short swing.

    Im more realistic by saying he has no chance than you guys saying he does. Its possible sure but its one heck of a long shot.
    And the article covered that by saying he had a 10 percent chance of making it. Hes a power hitter and Homeruns are what he does best. If Dunn stays healthy he should easily cruise to 500 homeruns.
    Whoever wants to know the heart and mind of America had better learn baseball - Jacques Barzun

  15. #15
    Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Posts
    1,040

    Re: Dunn rated 3rd most likely to break Bonds Record

    Quote Originally Posted by mound_patrol View Post
    And the article covered that by saying he had a 10 percent chance of making it. Hes a power hitter and Homeruns are what he does best. If Dunn stays healthy he should easily cruise to 500 homeruns.
    Im just saying that his swing is not going to be as effective as he gets older and slower. He would need to adjust by shortening it and its going to take a lot of Dunns power away.


Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!


RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball


Contact us: Boss | GIK | BCubb2003 | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | LexRedsFan | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | redsfan1995 | The Operator | Tommyjohn25