For every guy like Albert Pujols who completely lived up to the hype, I can name two guys like Billy Ashley who were total flops or ten guys like Pete Incaviglia who were solid players but never lived up to expectations. Heck, just look at the career of the guy who you want to jettison. Adam Dunn was a 300+ hitter in the minors and hit 330+ in the upper minors.
To claim Jay Bruce will step right into the Reds lineup and immediately bat cleanup and provide the same kind of production as Dunn is foolhardy.
Last edited by Steve4192; 08-10-2007 at 10:29 AM.
Makes all the routine posts.
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Bruce vs. Dunn? What a perfectly silly false choice that is.
First off, this notion that Josh Hamilton is a given is based on what? His long track record of success? His good health? I'm not saying Hamilton can't or won't be a decent player, but he might be nothing more than a 4th OF or a platoon player (and there's nothing wrong with that). I know this much, I've seen enough of Hamilton to not want him as a regular CF. He's fine as a backup option in CF, but I want more range than he's got out there. If Hamilton's going to be a regular, I'd want him in an OF corner.
And then there's Jr. Given the Reds' pathetic attendance I think it's fair to say that no one on the roster puts fannies in seats. Jr. is the oldest player in the Reds' OF and historically the most fragile of the bunch. If you're looking to open a slot for Jay Bruce, then Jr.'s the guy who ought to go. You don't rebuild around guys in their late 30s.
As for Dunn's option, if the Reds don't pick it up, then there's really no reason to view them as a viable major league franchise. Seriously, major league franchises don't release players like Dunn over piddly $3M raises. I don't advocate the Reds embrace futility.
Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong
I'm witchcrafting everybody.
One point we should all realize is that Jay Bruce is not on the 40-man roster. Until he is put on that roster, he will be unable to be called up to Cincinnati. The Reds will have to put him on the 40-man roster before we will see him in Cincinnati.
If he replaces a guy like Jason Ellison, they can simply remove him from the 40 man roster and get him off the team. Finding a 40 man roster spot will not be a hinderance in getting Bruce a spot on the Reds.
The reason I believe that Allen has a lot of influence on decisions, is that it doesn't make any sense to acquire Brendan Harris in a trade, a player with the ability to step in immediately and help the team, only to turn around six months later and obtain cash for him.
If that was Krivsky's decision, and not influenced heavily by John Allen, then it reveals a black hole in Krivsky's ability to judge talent.
Not that he's any different than any other G.M. They all make bad decisions every year....every single one of them.
Rob Neyer: "Any writer who says he'd be a better manager than the worst manager is either 1) lying (i.e. 'using poetic license') or 2) patently delusional. Which isn't to say managers don't do stupid things that you or I wouldn't."
I think you are reading way too into the Harris deal. If John Allen had any influence on the decisions, I think he would have suggested a move of a player not making the league minimum.
counting on Hamilton will likely be a huge mistake, Jr as well. If they are in a complete rebuilding mode then by all means.
What are you, people? On dope? - Mr Hand
Makes all the routine posts.