Last Week: 13-3
Record Picking Redskins Games: 1-0
Against the Spread: 2-1-1
Lock of the Week: 1-0
Last Week's Pats: Very good with, both with my straight up picks and my four against the spread. Highlights were calling a few upsets, headlined by Green Bay over Philly and Detroit over Oakland.
Last Week's Apologies: I misread the Rams/Panthers game. I am very surprised that the Carolina defense put the clamps on Steven Jackson and the Rams offense the way they did. Losing Orlando Pace for the year could devestate St. Louis
This Week's Picks:
Houston at Carolina: Very quietly the Texans have built a respectable defense. Expect them to keep the Panthers in check. However, after what Carolina's defense did to the Rams, I can't see the Texans putting up very many points.
Panthers 17, Texans 13
Cincinnati at Cleveland: Wow, the Browns are worse than I thought. And I thought they'd really stink. Coach Romeo has a real mess on his hands-- I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't last the year.
Bengals 27, Browns 17
Indianapolis at Tennessee: The Colts CAN'T be as good as they looked last Thursday night. If they are, the rest of this NFL season is just window dressing for another Colts championship. I'm betting the Colts come back down to earth a bit this week, but still find a way to win.
Colts 23, Titans 20
New Orleans at Tampa Bay: The Saints CAN'T be as bad as they looked last Thursday night. If they are, the NFC is even more wide open than I thought. Look for the Saints offense to bounce back-- but they defense has major issues.
Saints 31, Bucs 24
San Francisco at St. Louis: The 49ers played poorly last Monday night and won. That is a good sign for a young team. If they take this one, not only will they be 2-0, but they will be 2-0 in their division. Look for St. Louis to squeek one out.
Rams 26, 49ers 24
Buffalo at Pittsburgh: Last Sunday was heartbreaking for the Bills in a variety of ways. Hopefully, the relatively good news regarding Kevin Everett's injury will inspire the Bills, but winning in Pittsburgh is a tall order, especially considering the week they've had.
Steelers 20, Bills 16
Green Bay at New York Giants: Tough pick considering the uncertain status of Eli Manning. But I am going out on a limb, riding my upset special from week one, and banking that the Packers pull off another upset this week. Don't sleep on Green Bay's defense-- they are the real deal.
Packers 21, Giants 17
Atlanta at Jacksonville: Easiest straight-up winner of the week. Atlanta is awful. Jacksonville is desperate after a disappointing home opener.
Jaguars 19, Falcons 12
Seattle at Arizona: Last week I said that every year, one team burns me week after week. This year, I'm betting that team is Arizona.
Cardinals 28, Seahawks 23
Dallas at Miami: Another easy pick. Dallas needs to work on their pass defense, but Miami won't be able to exploit that weakness this week. The Cowboys offense appears to be in full gear.
Cowboys 27, Dolphins 13
Minnesota at Detroit: Toughest call of the week. The Vikings looked good in week one, but they were playing a JV squad (Falcons) at home. We know Detroit is going to stuggle to keep teams from scoring on them. What we don't know, is exactly how good that offense is going to be. They did light up a pretty good defense last week. Look for another close Lions victory.
Lions 20, Vikings 17
Oakland at Denver: In week one, the Raiders snatched defeat from the hands of victory. It may have been their best opportunity all year.
Broncos 27, Raiders 10
Kansas City at Chicago: The Chiefs scored three points against the Texans last week. This week, they play the Bears--in Chicago. Be afraid Chiefs fans, be very afraid.
Bears 31, Chiefs 9
New York Jets at Baltimore: I'm betting that the Jets were an abberation last year. Did it with smoke and mirrors. Baltimore played horribly in Cincinnati last week and still had a chance at the end of that game. This one will get ugly.
Ravens 20, Jets 10
San Diego at New England: As good as it gets. The Patriots offensive display last week was astounding. I'm just not sure how anyone is going to stop them this year. Look for a shootout, with Tom Brady getting the last laugh.
Patriots 30, Chargers 27
Washington at Philadelphia: I have a funny feeling that things are just "off" in Philly right now. McNabb is still working his way back from injury, and Andy Reid can't help but be distracted by the legal troubles of his children. Having said that, the Redskins did not show enough offensively in week one for me to pick an upset.
Eagles 23, Redskins 16
4 To Score
1. Dallas (-3) against the Dolphins: As a Redskins fan, I hope I'm wrong, but Dallas is simply a far superior football team.
2. Green Bay (+2) against the Giants: Could be a great play if Eli can't go.
3. Houston (+7) against the Panthers: Don't think the Texans can win this one outright, but I do think their defense will keep them close.
4. New Orleans (-3) against the Bucs: Look for the Saints offense to put up big numbers.