My prioriites, if I'm running things:
1. Resolve Adam Dunn's future with the club one way or another. I think knowing what I'm gonna do about Dunn is essential before I make can make a decision about including a young guy like Bruce, Hamilton or Votto in a deal for pitching.
AD's comment that there haventeven been discussions lead me to one of three conclusions: a) Dunn was being coy; b) the Reds donn't share my priority for resolving the status as a precursor for offseason dealings or c) they already have resolved not to sign him past this season and he may be the one dealt before ST.
2. Starting pitching. I think they ideally need to add two more starters if they possibly can get the the right deals. If they add a top of the rotation guy (a #1 or 2) then a league average 4 or 5 type to compete with holdovers and the young guns is find. If they can't land a top starter then I'd like to see them add a couple of #3 types
Top of the rotation type starters to target:
Bedard (BAL), Kasmir (TAM), Harden (OAK), Harden(OAK), Burnett (TOR), Bucholz (BOS), Lester (BOS), Camberlain (NYY), Hughes (NYY)
Blanton (OAK), Snell (PIT), Baker (MIN), Cain (SF), Hill (CHC), Marshall (CHC), Kennedy(NYY), Pelfrey (NYM)
Adding a FA starter without giving up talent would be great , but there are no top of the rotation guys out there. I might consider Silva as a 4th or 5th starter, but you'll probably have to pay him #2 money so no thanks. I'd take a look at Jon Lieber or Randy Wolf as a year stopgap or Clement or Colon on an incentive-laden deal.
3. I take any young talent at any position, but I would particualrly be on the lookout for a strong defensive CF, a RH OF bat as a PH or starter-option against strong LHP and a strong defensive middle infielder and or catcher o make Gonzalez and/or Ross expendable in a deal. I like our bullpen now, but a young upgrade is always welcomed.
* I make Bailey or Cueto available if it means the right experienced 1 or 2-type starter is added
* I make one from among: Hamilton, Votto or Bruce (last resort) available in a major deal if I know Dunn is staying
* I do everything in my power to move Dunn for the best return possible if I'm not bringing him back in 09.
* I would move Junior for anything of value (I doubt the Reds will though)
* Ross and Gonzalez are available in any deal if I'm adding a SS or C in a deal
* Freel and Stanton are available if any one will offer anything
* One or maybe two middle relievers from among Coffey, Salmon, Majewski, McBeth & Coutlangus are available if it finishes the right deal
* Any Minor leaguer not named Bailey, Cueto, Bruce or Votto is available if it substaintially inpvoes the big league club
* Several have mentioned dealing EdE. He is by no means untouchable, but I think I'd resist, if possible, for three reasons -
1) Low value - I think he can bounce back and at least give us .280/20/80 with improved defense
2) No real replacement ready. I don't like the thought of Keppinger or Freel as the everyday 3B and decent 3B's are a pretty rare commodity to go after on the market
3) I'd like to let someone like Frazier have another year to get closer to the majors.
Last edited by corkedbat; 12-01-2007 at 03:34 PM.
At least we know what we're getting with Lohse, and we could reasonably estimate the price.
With Silva, we have no idea what we're getting, while we know the cost will be astronomical.
Silva, IMO would be a Milton-esque signing due to lack of production based on salary.
Unfortunately, Lohse will also be expensive in this market, and the only reason I'd want him back in the rotation is so that Homer Bailey could have the luxury to be the #5 and learn on the job. If Bailey's in a role other than #5, then I don't think it's an unreasonable thought to feel that he'll have unfair expectations placed on him.
We wouldn't make the playoffs with a rotation of Harang/Arroyo/Lohse/Belisle/Bailey, but at least it would help Bailey's development rather than expecting/wishing he'd produce at a level of anything other than a #5, which realistically in 2008, he won't.
WK may want it to be known that he wants to be called in on any bidding war for a top starter. WK has a significant edge in terms of young chips. In fact, am shocked that teams took the stuff they took for pitchingso far. t is my humble opinion that the Reds ould have and would have topped anythig yet given.....The Matt Garza deal was shocking, really shockng to me. Would ou rather have Young or Hamilton....come on....
MLB should be totally disgusted and ashamed of the news coming out on the Santana thing.....it is lik there are two real ML teams. If it weren't for the silly 100year old law, I would think that every other ML team could win an anti-trust suit against NY and Boston.
If I were a season tiket holder, I would consider a law suit.
"Is there a problem officers?"
Why is Hamilton suddenly NOT a good defensiv CF? I thought he was terriic and I also thougt, last year, that he wa thought of tat way....a real 5 tool guy.
Ad if I was wrong, I thought Jay Bruce was supposed to be a top notch defensive CF. Why o the Reds need to look for some defensive, no bat guy?
"Is there a problem officers?"
Jay Bruce, unfortunately isn't a true CF. He can play CF, and would be a better defender than Hamilton, but Jay Bruce is a corner OF.
The Reds have a legitimate defensive CF in Chris Dickerson. Unfortunately, he has no bat. The Reds have an even better defensive CF in Drew Stubbs, but Juan Castro may very well be a better hitter than Drew Stubbs. The Reds had an everyday CF, but my guess is he'll be playing CF everyday for the A's in 2008.
My gut says AA OF Sean Henry and RHRP Carlos Guevara to Pittsburgh for Matt Morris. Just a gut instinct but that is what I see happening. I ain't claming it's the right thing to do but it wouldn't shock me at all. And then Jerry Gil would likely be DFA to make room for Morris.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS
Well, I am not sure what the pundits would say, but IMHO, Freel is a disaster as a CF. He'll make an occassional diving catch, but he makes lots of bad plays....and he has a rainbow arm.
Just from watching, I see Hamilton as far superior to Freel.....and just from watching, I think Hamilton is a fine CF. So, again, I don't know where this need for a true CF is coming from.
And everybody seems to forget Norris Hopper.....the guy has hit over .330 in 400 some ML ab's....
"Is there a problem officers?"