Last Week: 10-6
Record Picking Redskins Games: 7-5
Against the Spread: 21-25-2
Lock of the Week: 7-5
Last Week’s Pats: The Browns-Cardinals game was an even spread, and I correctly picked the right side (Cardinals). Other than that, can’t brag about too much.
Last Week’s Apologies: The only real “apology” this week goes out to the Giants, who I thought may have been about to go on a slide. But the Giants, and more importantly, their quarterback made some clutch plays late in the game and got a much needed victory.
This Week’s Picks:
Chicago at Washington: A nearly impossible game to pick because of the emotions involved. Will the Redskins play more “free” now that they have some closure following Sean Taylor’s funeral? Or will they be even more drained than they were last week? On the field, I see these two teams as even, so the intangibles will go a long way in deciding this one. The winner finds themselves in the thick of the playoff hunt, while the loser can start making off-season plans. A tough one. Going with my heart here.
Redskins 19, Bears 16
Miami at Buffalo: Sorry Miami, not this week.
Bills 22, Dolphins 13
St. Louis at Cincinnati: This is the official “Most Disappointing Team in Each Conference” Bowl. A fun match-up when the schedule was released is now nothing more than a December dud.
Bengals 27, Rams 23
Carolina at Jacksonville: The Panthers are one win away from establishing themselves in the NFC wildcard race. But I don’t see them getting that win this week. Even though Jacksonville proved they aren’t real contenders last week, they are still more than capable of taking care of Carolina.
Jaguars 28, Panthers 14
Dallas at Detroit: The only thing that has me wavering this week is the fact that this is a virtually meaningless game for Dallas. With four games left and a two game cushion on Green Bay, I could see Dallas taking a “week off” sometime soon. Having said that, Detroit looks simply miserable right now and the Cowboys may be able to beat them at half-speed.
Cowboys 30, Lions 23
Tampa Bay at Houston: I’ve been riding the Texans all year long. I’ve “hit” a few times and missed a few more. Tampa basically won the NFC South last week, so I could see a letdown here.
Texans 20, Bucs 17
Oakland at Green Bay: I know people want to see Brett Favre keep his consecutive starts streak alive, but if I were the Packers, I’d rest him this week regardless. Green Bay is close to being locked into their playoff slot, and playing at home against a 4-8 team would be a good time to give Favre some rest. Either way, I like the Packers in an ugly one. But expect the Raiders to compete.
Packers 18, Raiders 16
San Diego at Tennessee: Finally, the Chargers seem to have things figured out. Now, they can wait until mid January to collapse.
Chargers 27, Titans 17
New York Giants at Philadelphia: Another tough call. Giants are coming off a huge win, while Philly is reeling from back to back close losses. It’s desperation time for the Eagles, while the Giants have more wiggle room than any other NFC wildcard contender. The Giants are the better team, but I see the Eagles finding a way.
Eagles 24, Giants 21
Minnesota at San Francisco: Talk about a roll. The Vikings have just destroyed their last two opponents and now they get to take on the lowly 49ers. Still not 100% sold on Tavaris Jackson, but the Vikings won’t need him this week.
Vikings 26, 49ers 17
Arizona at Seattle: I have a feeling the Cardinals loss two week’s ago to the 49ers is going to ultimately doom their season. Arizona beat Seattle earlier this year, but I don’t see that happening again—especially if Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are both out.
Seahawks 30, Cardinals 20
Kansas City at Denver: The Chiefs were essentially eliminated from playoff contention last week. With a loss on Sunday, Denver will join them. Look for the Broncos to hang on for at least one more week.
Broncos 24, Chiefs 17
Pittsburgh at New England: Only the Patriots can BENEFIT from their own false start on 4th and inches. After two scares, I see New England winning this one a bit more easily, but they certainly don’t seem as indestructible as they once did.
Patriots 34, Steelers 20
Cleveland at New York Jets: Riding an upset hunch here—the Jets have played pretty well in the Meadowland this year and Kellen Clemens has made that offense a bit more potent.
Jets 26, Browns 24
Indianapolis at Baltimore: The Ravens gave it everything they had last Monday against New England. You have to wonder if they have anything left.
Colts 27, Ravens 16
New Orleans at Atlanta: I want to ride the upset wave here, but I’m going to be a weenie and play it safe.
Saints 31, Falcons 20