Don't give up the farm!
It is true that a lot of prospects do not turn out the way you want them to, but if you could ask the Cards if they could go back and not trade Haren when he was one of those prospects I will bet they would say do not trade him! Bailey may never be what we think he is going to be but if he turns into the number 1 that has been predicted we will be sick that we traded him for anyone! If you can trade Votto and Hamilton and Maloney and EE and get a Haren or a Bedard then go for it but please not Bailey or Cueto or Bruce!!!
Plus, his contract is already decided. Bedard will be hitting arbitration over the next couple years, then - almost certaingly - will be a FA in 2010.
BUT, if you consider that we haven't yet extended Dunn past 2008, you have Griffey MORE THAN LIKELY to be gone in 2009 (no way we pay him $16.5M), then you probably see 2010 as the least of your problems.
Trading for Haren or Bedards says we want to win NOW.
We've been playing the "Wait until our great Prospects develop" card since Sweet Lou was wrestling Dibble in the clubhouse. I haven't seen one of those guys develop yet....
I get scared about giving up our guys for pitchers that might or might not have over produced last year
I keep my cheap, young players and sign the free agent (when available) of 1 from Haren, Kazmir and Bedard or other top notch pitchers that are FA's. Griffey's contract comes off the books next year as long as the Reds don't accept Jr.'s option for '09. These young guys are golden and other GM's know it but won't own up to it. They want to make Wayne Krivsky believe their pitcher is the best pitcher in Major League history, which we know they're not.
People need to realize that there is no one to replace 1st baseman Joey Votto's mega-talent in the minors. No, Don't put Dunn at 1st. Brandon Phillips will be worn out running for fly pop fouls. The Mets plan is the best plan as far as holding onto your own guys and bidding for the best players. The Cincinnati Reds ownership and its fanbase can and will compete for these terribly high priced pitchers in order to maintain years of competing instead of a one year possibility of winning (Santana-unless he would sign for at least 5 years here). I have seen Bruce, Votto, Hamilton and Bailey play in person and each one can dominate a game. The cost in player exchange is way to high (Even Astros fans are lamenting the 5 for 1 trade for Miguel Tejada) so going the free-agency route is the best way.
Sit tight in '08. See what else can shake out. Get Bailey and Cueto established in the rotation. Then go for it BIG-TIME for the 2008 free agents!!!
It's a Win-Win proposition!!!
Last edited by Vada Pinson Fan; 12-12-2007 at 05:47 PM.