I haven't seen enough or know enough about Volquez so I am gonna say Bailey.
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Just an arbitrary pick - couldn't say in reality who will.
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Cueto. Stuff, command, velo. He's got it all. His size doesn't bother me, as his results speak for themselves.
Wow, no love for Volquez so far? He's my pick.
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"Since I've been with the Reds in 1989, we've never had a farm system this loaded," Bowden said. "If we were the New York Yankees and had unlimited dollars, we could have traded for Colon, (Jeff) Weaver, Rolen, (Cliff) Floyd, (Kenny) Rogers and Finley and gotten them all -- and still held onto our top five prospects. That's an amazing statement."
I voted Cueto. While stuff helps determine your ceiling, control & command is the biggest factor (health aside) is determining whether you reach it.
With Bailey & Volquez, there seems to be nearly even odds on whether or not they ever break the fringe starter ceiling. Cueto seems to have a clear path to that #2/#3 starter level of effectiveness. I think both Tim Hudson and Roy Oswalt have shown that smaller pitchers can remain effective. Surely they will grow less productive over time, as all players do, but the idea that a few seasons will wear him down seems to be laregly unfounded.
Until Homer and Volquez reign in their stuff, I see nothing but Kyle Lohsesque careers.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Youngest guy? Bailey.
Best stuff? Bailey.
Makes it an easy pick for me. Cueto would go next, then Volquez.
Mo had the Texas beat writer on his show today and he said Volquez was Texas minor league pitcher of the year 3 years in a row, he was clearly their top prospect. I was torn between him and Bailey but I went with Volquez.
This is a very tough question, but also a very good one.
I love all three of these guys. I think all three could be special, top of the rotation guys. Each of them have great stuff but I picked Johnny Cueto because his stuff is the most refined of the three at this point. He doesn't necessarily have the highest ceiling of the three, but he is a guy who will step right in and contribute to the Reds because of his great control and stuff. The other two may take a little time to reach their ceilings due to shaky command, though I see all three of them being great major league pitchers, it's just that I think Cueto gets there quicker.
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The Reds haven't produced a home-grown starter in two decades. Smart money is on nobody bucking that trend -- and, if they do, not being very good.
23 Years and Counting...
Not exactly going out on a limb here, but...
I predict that Homer Bailey will have the brightest burn, but it'll likely be for a couple seasons with his second or third team.
I predict that Johnny Cueto will have the best overall career as a consistent #2 to solid #3 Starter.
I predict that Edinson Volquez is the most likely of the three to flame out as a starter and to bounce around as a somewhat frustrating decent middle reliever. Reminds me of a little chunkier, more HR-prone version of Juan Cruz.
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I'm glad to see Volquez starting to get some more votes. I considered choosing him but I thought it over and decided to go with Cueto. I think all three are going to develop into great pitchers within a couple years, forming the best Reds rotation in decades.