Sorry to see that Belisle will obviously be injured in '08. Guess I can skip this season and look forward to 2009.
Seriously, does he explain at ALL how he comes to these conclusions?
Raisel Ghul, the Demon's Head
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Projections are all flawed, imo. ZiPs to me appears way too pessimistic while James seems way optimistic. Basically they are just tools, like any other system of stat evaluation. With Belisle, ZiPs has totally miscalculated the role the Reds have in mind for him, choosing instead the historical data - never minding that relief was not his role at all in 2007 - ZiPs still insists it should be because his previous years were primarily as a reliever. So you have to look past obvious flaws like that when evaluating it.
"The problem with strikeouts isn't that they hurt your team, it's that they hurt your feelings..." --Rob Neyer
"The single most important thing for a hitter is to get a good pitch to hit. A good hitter can hit a pitch that’s over the plate three times better than a great hitter with a ball in a tough spot.”
(I was wrong when I predicted better than 13-10 for Harang.)
Their prediction for Volquez was very innaccurate.
Some of them, however, (Phillips, Bruce, Votto, Dunn, Burton, Cordero, Weathers, Cueto, Arroyo) have been somewhat accurate.