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View Poll Results: Who is the #29 prospect?

Voters
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  • Paul Janish

    38 46.34%
  • Justin Reed

    44 53.66%
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Thread: Redszone Community Prospect Vote #29 RUNOFF

  1. #31
    Stat Wanker Hodiernus RedsManRick's Avatar
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    Re: Redszone Community Prospect Vote #29 RUNOFF

    Quote Originally Posted by M2 View Post
    Looks to me like Janish got weeded out in AA and AAA last season. He all but proved he's got no major league future (there is no team that wants Juan Castro Lite).

    Reed may get weeded out in the future, but he could also flourish before that, something I don't think anyone reasonably expects from Janish. My take is that, of the two, Reed's the one who profiles better when it comes to having some sort of future value.
    Janish had a .358 OBP in AA. Yes, he's got no power to speak of, but that's hardly being weeded out.

    In AAA, he had a BABIP of .248. I'll be the first to admit that that's likely not all bad luck and partially the result of a deserved low LD%. However, bump it up to just .280 and that .221/.278/.318 line becomes .251/.308/.350. Yes, that's not good either, but it's better and that's for his first time in Louisville.

    I have no illusions that he'd ever be anything more than a backup up utility IF with a slick glove; the next Juan Castro. But this is a Juan Castro who can take a walk, meaning he might not be completely useless at the plate.

    All that said, I still don't understand why Reed is a guy around #30 while Soto and Moreseco are so much higher.
    Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

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  3. #32
    Member Superdude's Avatar
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    Re: Redszone Community Prospect Vote #29 RUNOFF

    All that said, I still don't understand why Reed is a guy around #30 while Soto and Moreseco are so much higher.

    Some good prospects, like Dorn for example, get love from the stat guys. Other good prospects like Soto and Mesoraco get love from the scouts. Great prospects like Bruce get drooled over by both. While you can find postive things in his scouting report and stat line, nothing about Reed really pops out at this point to make him a top prospect.
    Last edited by Superdude; 01-23-2008 at 04:15 PM.

  4. #33
    Start the Reactor! *BaseClogger*'s Avatar
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    Re: Redszone Community Prospect Vote #29 RUNOFF

    I'd say Reed took this one
    "On-base percentage is great if you can score runs and do something with that on-base percentage," Baker said. "Clogging up the bases isn't that great to me."


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