BP top 100 ...

[flyer85]

from Goldstein

Bruce #1
Bailey #9
Votto #21
Cueto #41

[NDRed]

Good to hear someone is still high on Bailey. Sometimes reading the board you think Reds fans have totally given up on the kid.

[flyer85]

I think most are still high on Bailey. He is tall with a good fastball and curve while combining it with a low effort delivery. His command problems just point out that he isn't ready for prime time yet. He has a huge upside if he can work through his command issues(which should be done at AAA).

[Joseph]

I understand how subjective rankings are, but its a pretty nice feeling to read that we have 2 top ten prospects in ALL of baseball.

[fearofpopvol1]

I feel like that's low for Cueto. You'd think he'd be a little bit higher than that.

[flyer85]

I feel like that's low for Cueto. You'd think he'd be a little bit higher than that.

I think it's because short RHP supposedly aren't as "projectable".

[red-in-la]

Will the trade value of Bruce and Bailey ever he higher?

[flyer85]

Will the trade value of Bruce and Bailey ever he higher?

in the case of Bruce, probably not.


However, Bailey's could go much higher if he shows he has fixed his command issues. If he doesn't his stock will only go down.

[RedsManRick]

in the case of Bruce, probably not.


However, Bailey's could go much higher if he shows he has fixed his command issues. If he doesn't his stock will only go down.

If they both continue to develop towards their ceilings and stay healthy, their value will increase up until about the winter after their first year of arbitration. Up until then, you still take a bit of value hit due to the inherent risk of prospect development and after that their cost becomes a problem. I think Dan Haren pretty clearly showed where maximum value is reached.

[Benihana]

I don't know that Jay Bruce's value can possibly go much higher than it currently is now, provided he doesn't hit 50 HR's in his rookie campaign.

[PuffyPig]

I don't know that Jay Bruce's value can possibly go much higher than it currently is now, provided he doesn't hit 50 HR's in his rookie campaign.

If Bruce actually proves he can hit like he is projected to do, his value will increase significantly. He doesn't need to hit 50 HR's to do that.

[dougdirt]

This list is about 50 times better than that crap Keith Law just released over on ESPN. Seriously, Keith Law is the worst 'minor league analyst' I have ever read that actually gets paid (and I bet he gets paid pretty well too).

Still a few issues with KG's list, but in general there were only a few things that really hit me as a 'whoa, really?' type reaction.

[flyer85]

If Bruce actually proves he can hit like he is projected to do

It's all about expectations. I know a James projection had some ludicrous numbers. I am waiting to see PECOTA. I think he is a bit overhyped, but we'll see.

[Vada Pinson Fan]

However, Bailey's could go much higher if he shows he has fixed his command issues. If he doesn't his stock will only go down.

I'm not too concerned about Homer's control when you factor in his groin injury. When he's healthy his control should be there. Minor League stats show his K/BB ratio running roughly between 2/1 and 3/1 so far in his young career.

http://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.htm?id=8308

[flyer85]

Homers BB rate in AAA last was 4.28 and his K/BB was ~1.5. Both were signsof the fact he was going to struggle mightily at the MLB level. His ERA was masking command issues which were going to cause him to stumble and as far as I can tell the command issues are still there because he struggled with command from the start of the season last year.