I agree that anything over 4 years is risky. But Dunn is only 28 and right in the middle of his prime years. I think its imperative that the Reds lock him up for the next 3 seasons at a minimum.
I agree that anything over 4 years is risky. But Dunn is only 28 and right in the middle of his prime years. I think its imperative that the Reds lock him up for the next 3 seasons at a minimum.
Yep, with Dunn he needs to hit the ball a mile because if his power numbers start to drop he has little value anywhere else. A switch to 1st base needs to happen for him mostly but hes too unwilling to give it a real try and work hard at it.Originally Posted by Nasty_Boy
Once Dunns knees start to wear out from his big frame pounding on them hes going to fall quickly.
If Dunn's body starts to go, which I think will happen in his mid 30's, he'll still have value as a DH. If Frank Thomas can still find a job, I would think that Dunn would be very comparable to the Big Hurt at his age.
That's a good point. He's a big guy. Knees aren't built to carry that much weight, especially during a 162 game season. We can only hope it comes if/after he goes somewhere else.
-LTlabnerIf you can't build a winning team with that core a fire-sale isn't the solution. Selling the franchise, moving them to Nashville and converting GABP into a used car lot is.
Adam Dunn (Age 27) Career Season Average
40 HR's 95 RBI's .248/.381/.519
Frank Thomas (Age 38) 2006
39 HR's 114 RBI's .270/.381/.545
I'm sorry but there is no comparison. When Dunn's body starts to give out, it's going to get ugly.
I guess I forgot how good last year was for Thomas...
-LTlabnerIf you can't build a winning team with that core a fire-sale isn't the solution. Selling the franchise, moving them to Nashville and converting GABP into a used car lot is.
They really dont have the same career path.
You guys are pretty awesome!
Look at Frank's surrounding seasons. Once Frank turned 32 in 2000 (the age Dunn would be at the end of a 4 yr deal) he has had 2 maybe 3 above average seasons. Why? Due to injury... It's great that Frank was so good in 2006, but he regressed a little last season. And I wasn't comparing them as players, I was comparing their body types.
My point was that once Dunn gets into his mid 30's he's likely to start having more injuries and therefore his production would decline. Couldn't Dunn be healthy at 37-38 and put up a big season? Of course he could... and why do you guys think Dunn's knees will give out? Yes he's big, but he has a huge frame that is meant to carry more weight. It's not set in stone that he will have knee problems.
I dont know if his knees or back or body will start to wear down but big guys tend to break down and you would be silly not to worry about it.
Id rather miss out on a few years of a good player than be stuck with multiple years of a drain on the payroll.
If Dunn puts up similar numbers to what he did last year, I'd give him a four year deal. I'm just not sold on the fact he can put up .380 OBP ever year. If he can do that his year and still slug 40 HR, his offensive production majorly overcompensates for his lack of defensive ability.
I disagree with that last sentence. If you want to make someone the centerpiece of your franchise, and for the money you would be paying Dunn you would be, it is a bad idea IMO to do that for a 275 lb one dimensional player.
maybe if he starts putting up Ortiz numbers, then that would make since
The best thing for Dunn would be a move to the AL. I think in a DH role, he could put up similar numbers to Ortiz.
-LTlabnerIf you can't build a winning team with that core a fire-sale isn't the solution. Selling the franchise, moving them to Nashville and converting GABP into a used car lot is.
Please define one dimensional, I would love to hear this.
Oh I doubt that very much. Dunn could put up good numbers as a DH though.
Posting Permissions
|
Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please. |
