i couldn't care less if they sign him, if it's not to a huge contract, the only reason i was opposed, was because of the ridiculously huge numbers that were floating around he was supposed to get.
2007 - 5.91 - Loshe - Career - 5.77
2007 - 5.61 - Fogg - Career - 5.66
5.15 - Affeldt (Career since he didnt start last year)
2007 - 5.92 - Belisle - Career - 5.71
The assumption that Loshe doesn't go deep enough into games is just purely wrong. Fogg, and especially Affeldt are the ones you need to worry about.
Ok, then if the blown saves decrease you would have to think the Reds would win more games. So why is it that you believe they are going to be so bad this year?
Just by quickly adding up stats our 5th spot in the rotation posted a ERA of about 8. Its not exact but its not that far off either.
Josh Fogg has a 60-60 career record with a high ERA. I normally don't look into record like this but him having a 60-60 career record with such a high ERA tells me he can keep you in the game if you can score a few runs. Basically he's a good guy to have on the mound in those 6-5 type games because he wont shut anyone down but normally wont get his brains beat in either. I hope I made sence.
Games Starting with less than 5 IP. 5 IP is used because you need 5 IP to get a Win.
2007 - 8 - Loshe
2007 - 4 - Fogg
2007 - 3 - Belisle
Now we will post the amount of 5 IP games which include any range of 5 IP\
2007 - 2 - Loshe (that's really low)
2007 - 9 - Fogg (all exactly 5IP)
2007 - 10 - Belisle
But how about times the Bullpen were saved? You can't look at just 1 extreme and not the other for a fair assessment. 8+ IP
2007 - 4 - Loshe
2007 - 0 - Fogg
2007 - 1 - Belisle
So while Loshe will have just 4-5 more "horrible" games, he will also be more likely to pitch deeper into game and have the great games. Fogg is going to consistently be at the 5-6IP mark. It depends on what you think is better, but Loshe is very likely to pitch 6IP+ compared to Fogg/Belisle