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Thread: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

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  1. #1
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    Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    From his latest ESPN Insider blog...

    • The stock of Cincinnati prospect Homer Bailey seems to have taken a dramatic tumble in the past year. Talent evaluators say the Reds have demonstrated a clear willingness to deal Bailey, while coveting fellow prospect Johnny Cueto. And rival teams have grown increasingly skeptical about whether the young right-hander will make the adjustments necessary to become a successful big league pitcher. "What you hear is that [Bailey] is someone who thinks he's got it all figured out," one evaluator said.
    Go BLUE!!!

  2. #2
    Smooth WMR's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Well he is getting pretty old to expect he figures much anything else out.

  3. #3
    RZ Chamber of Commerce Unassisted's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    I wonder if he "heard" this from Hal McCoy?
    /r/reds

  4. #4
    Let's ride BRM's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    I think Wayne has been willing to deal Bailey the entire offseason. He either couldn't get what he wanted for him or he found no takers for Homer's services.

  5. #5
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by BRM View Post
    I think Wayne has been willing to deal Bailey the entire offseason. He either couldn't get what he wanted for him or he found no takers for Homer's services.
    I think its likely that he wasn't able to get the top end pitching he wanted for Bailey so he chose to hold onto him. I highly doubt there weren't takers for his services, but that there weren't takers willing to pay what the Reds were likely asking for.

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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    keep it up, Buster. Writers like you are turning Homer into the new Steve Carlton. Which works for me.

  7. #7
    RZ Chamber of Commerce Unassisted's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by BRM View Post
    I think Wayne has been willing to deal Bailey the entire offseason. He either couldn't get what he wanted for him or he found no takers for Homer's services.
    You raise an interesting point here. Wayne has cut loose many "talent evaluators" from the Reds organization in the past couple of years. Some of them were bitter when they left and probably have an ax to grind. Could the bitter guys be poisoning the trade well for Wayne by telling this "truth" about Homer to everyone in the scouting world who will listen?
    /r/reds

  8. #8
    Passion for the game Team Clark's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by Unassisted View Post
    You raise an interesting point here. Wayne has cut loose many "talent evaluators" from the Reds organization in the past couple of years. Some of them were bitter when they left and probably have an ax to grind. Could the bitter guys be poisoning the trade well for Wayne by telling this "truth" about Homer to everyone in the scouting world who will listen?
    Excellent point. That could very well be happening. Hard to say with anonymous sources. Certainly not unheard of.
    It's absolutely pathetic that people can't have an opinion from actually watching games and supplementing that with stats. If you voice an opinion that doesn't fit into a black/white box you will get completely misrepresented and basically called a tobacco chewing traditionalist...
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  9. #9
    Posting in Dynarama M2's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by Unassisted View Post
    I wonder if he "heard" this from Hal McCoy?
    I believe you've got the sourcing nailed.

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt
    I think its likely that he wasn't able to get the top end pitching he wanted for Bailey so he chose to hold onto him. I highly doubt there weren't takers for his services, but that there weren't takers willing to pay what the Reds were likely asking for.
    Yep, I'd think that's likely it, though I think it's a bit of an ice water bath that more clubs weren't clamoring for his services and I think that might have caused some skepticism to creep into the Reds' minds concerning Bailey.

    FWIW, I don't consider that a bad thing. It might mean they don't push him as hard and give him the space to mature rather than demand he mature in 10 seconds or else. Not having everyone be in love with his arm and expecting him to be the next big thing could be the best thing in the world for Homer Bailey.
    I'm not a system player. I am a system.

  10. #10
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by M2 View Post
    FWIW, I don't consider that a bad thing. It might mean they don't push him as hard and give him the space to mature rather than demand he mature in 10 seconds or else. Not having everyone be in love with his arm and expecting him to be the next big thing could be the best thing in the world for Homer Bailey.
    It certainly isn't going to hurt Bailey to spend some time in AAA. He, like almost everyone else, has things he needs to work on.

  11. #11
    Kmac5 KoryMac5's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    It certainly isn't going to hurt Bailey to spend some time in AAA. He, like almost everyone else, has things he needs to work on.
    The question then becomes does he have a coach in AAA that he would listen to? For some reason I don't see Ted Power as that guy.
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  12. #12
    Pitter Patter TRF's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    It certainly isn't going to hurt Bailey to spend some time in AAA. He, like almost everyone else, has things he needs to work on.
    Who are you and why are you wearing doug's skin and claiming to be him?
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  13. #13
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by TRF View Post
    Who are you and why are you wearing doug's skin and claiming to be him?
    I have never said that AAA would hurt Bailey, I have just said that being in MLB would help him learn quicker.

  14. #14
    Registered User red-in-la's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    It is simply why they invented the term, "prospect." And why you should never, ever, ever overvalue your own unless you want to remain the Pittsburgh Pirates for the foreseeable future.

    Bruce was untaouchable, but now his legs are a question. Bailey was untaouchable, now he is a head case. Cueto is currently untouchable, but he remains a prospect.....

    I just believe you should take 50% off the value the "experts" and your own scouts give a prospect. Of course you don't trade them all, or maybe even more than an occassional few. But you need to see that this is one reason that teams that depend on their farm must live within a competitive CYCLE. And you need to senstitive to it.

    The time is NOW for the Reds (or maybe a few months ago when they had a chance to get the pieces they needed). Forget about 3-4 years from now.....it just ain't gonna happen.

  15. #15
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Buster Olney on Homer Bailey

    Quote Originally Posted by red-in-la View Post
    It is simply why they invented the term, "prospect." And why you should never, ever, ever overvalue your own unless you want to remain the Pittsburgh Pirates for the foreseeable future.

    Bruce was untaouchable, but now his legs are a question. Bailey was untaouchable, now he is a head case. Cueto is currently untouchable, but he remains a prospect.....
    There is NOTHING wrong with Jay Bruce's legs. Dusty Baker is a freaking idiot and had no clue what he was talking about when he said what he said.


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