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Thread: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

  1. #61
    Tired of talk. Win! Joseph's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    84 Wins and a Central Division crown in the worst division in baseball...or the most competitive depending on how you look at it.

    Championships for MY teams in my lifetime:
    Cincinnati Reds - 75, 76, 90
    Chicago Blackhawks - 10, 13
    University of Kentucky - 78, 96, 98, 12
    Cincinnati Bengals - None
    Chicago Bulls - 91, 92, 93, 96, 97, 98

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  3. #62
    Do it! TheBurn's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    85-77... good enough to win the Central.

  4. #63
    Member Highlifeman21's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by Puffy View Post
    78-84.
    Mark me down for one of these.

    At best we're a .500 team, and I don't think we're worse than last year, so while I wanted to go with 76 or 77, I'll give this team an optimistic benefit of the doubt and go with 78 wins.

    This team still has too many weaknesses to compete, let alone win.

  5. #64
    Designated Threadkiller LincolnparkRed's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    79-83 our interleague schedule is pretty tough, and that can't help overcome the improvements I think have been made to the pitching staff.
    Climbing down from the bridge, but keeping the torch lit until Dusty's fate is settled

  6. #65
    Boom Goes the Dynamite Screwball's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    80-82.

  7. #66
    Member membengal's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    So much unknown, so much could go right or wrong.

    Boringly, will split the difference at 81-81, and would not be suprised to see it +/- five from there. Anywhere from 76-86 wins.

  8. #67
    Member New Fever's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    88 wins

  9. #68
    Member MississippiRed's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    78 wins
    Win some, lose some, some get rained out.

  10. #69
    SSG, Red Army Choir Guacarock's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    78 sounds about right.

  11. #70
    Will post for food BuckeyeRedleg's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    83-79

  12. #71
    Member redsrule2500's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    Quote Originally Posted by gonelong View Post
    Ok, time for Gonelong's 7th annual Reds Win prediction thread. Similar to years past my requests are minimal:

    1. Give a number of Ws you project.
    2. Make the prediction as honestly as you can. (Imagine you were betting your house one your estimate being correct.)
    3) I will be **AT** the game again this year. (thanks again, to my brother!) Once I return from the game I'll compute the average and post it as the "Redszone ORG consensus".

    I think it would be interesting if someone would start a similar thread on the Sundeck and we can have a friendly competition between the ORG and Sundeck.

    Here are the historical prediction threads, if anyone wants to check on their past performance:
    2007 - RZ Ws: 81.40 Actual: 72 PTHG: 75 - Pretty Optimistic
    2006 - RZ Ws: 76.66 Actual: 80 PTHG: 76 - Slightly Pesimistic
    2005 -
    RZ Ws: 84.67 Actual: 73 PTHG: 75 - Wildy Optimistic
    2004 -
    RZ Ws: 76.82 Actual: 76 PTHG: 67 - Right On
    2003 -
    RZ Ws: 87.88 Actual: 69 PTHG: 63 - Wildly Optimistic
    2002 - RZ Ws: 79.71 Actual: 78 PTHG: 75 - Slightly Optimistic

    My prediction for 2008 prediction of Reds Wins is 80 Ws.

    GL
    Another semi-interesting note: Reds Zone has been averaging about 11,000 new topics per year since the second year of your prediction thread. Take a look at those links! And then this year is 66,000 even...wow!
    redsrule2500
    Go Reds!
    Baseball Bliss
    Im a normal guy blessed with the ability to hit a baseball. - Sean Casey

  13. #72
    Member Strikes Out Looking's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    86 wins due to a better bullpen, better starters, lousy division and no Narron. Wild Card is Dusty--and if they don't win 86, I say fire him.

  14. #73
    Member Reds/Flyers Fan's Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    90 wins.

    NL Central champs

  15. #74
    Roster glue
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    I'd like to defer until the fringes of the roster are settled (and more importantly whether Votto starts at 1B), but where is the fun in that?

    76 wins. This bullpen could be horrific again with the wrong decisions/usage patterns, the offense--after park adjustment--will be below average even with a boost from EE, and improvement from the starting pitching won't be quite enough. There are too many bad pitchers on the staff (Stanton, Fogg, Affeldt) getting innings and Cueto and Volquez can't be expected to pick up all of those guys' slack.

    I agree with the earlier sentiment: if Dunn or Harang miss any time whatsoever the wheels could come off.

  16. #75
    Start the Reactor! *BaseClogger*'s Avatar
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    Re: Gonelong's 7th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...

    78-84

    could be about 84 wins with a more optimal lineup and roster configuartion... But I guess it could be 72 wins if Dusty didn't know how to manage the clubhouse ...
    "On-base percentage is great if you can score runs and do something with that on-base percentage," Baker said. "Clogging up the bases isn't that great to me."


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