Turn Off Ads?
Results 1 to 7 of 7

Thread: 133rd Preakness Stakes

  1. #1
    Playoffs Cyclone792's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2005
    Location
    Cincinnati, OH
    Posts
    6,271

    133rd Preakness Stakes

    Big Brown opens up as the heavy favorite, and I really do think he'll pull out the win here at the Preakness. The big question is which horse to pair up in an exacta with him or which horses to line up a trifecta with him.

    http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/hor...ory?id=3396242

    BALTIMORE - Clowns to the left of him, jokers to the right, there he is, stuck in the middle.

    Big Brown, the Kentucky Derby winner, landed smack dab in the middle of the field, in post 7, when posts were drawn Wednesday evening for the 13 3-year-olds entered to run in the 133rd Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course.

    Bettors are expected to make Big Brown a heavy favorite against a field of horses who, with one exception, were not accomplished enough even to challenge him in the Derby.

    Both Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form's national handicapper, and Frank Carulli, the linemaker at Pimlico, have Big Brown a prohibitive favorite. Watchmaker has him at 3-5, while Carulli pegged Big Brown even shorter, at 1-2.

    Behindatthebar, the Lexington Stakes winner, is the second choice on Watchmaker's morning line, at 10-1, with Gayego, the Arkansas Derby winner, next at 12-1. Carulli has Gayego the second choice at 8-1, with Behindatthebar the third choice at 10-1.

    Big Brown broke from the outside in a 20-horse field in the Derby, and from the outside in a 12-horse field in the Florida Derby. He won those races by 4 3/4 and five lengths, respectively.

    "He gets to save some ground for the first time," Michael Iavarone, whose IEAH Stables is a co-owner of Big Brown, said at the draw, which was held at the ESPN Zone in downtown Baltimore. Iavarone added, joking, "I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing."

    Big Brown is unbeaten in four starts. He has been favored in his last three races, and will be again on Saturday, but the Preakness will be the first time he has been an odds-on favorite.

    The draw was a traditional double-blind draw, with an entry card pertaining to each horse being pulled concurrent with a numbered pill deposited from a bottle.

    Behindatthebar wound up in post 5, while Gayego landed post 12, meaning Gayego will be one spot from the outside, just as he was in the Derby.

    Gayego "had a terrible trip" in the Derby when he broke from post 19, according to his jockey, Mike Smith.

    "He didn't break and then he ducked in from the crowd," Smith said. "I was never in it - never in the race."

    The field, from the rail out, is Macho Again (Julien Leparoux the rider), Tres Borrachos (Tyler Baze), Icabad Crane (Jeremy Rose), Yankee Bravo (Alex Solis), Behindatthebar (David Flores), Racecar Rhapsody (Robby Albarado), Big Brown (Kent Desormeaux), Macho Again (Jamie Theriot), Stevil (John Velazquez), Riley Tucker (Edgar Prado), Giant Moon (Ramon Dominguez), Gayego (Smith), and Hey Byrn (Chuck Lopez).

    Icabad Crane is the only horse who has ever raced previously at Pimlico. He won last month's Federico Tesio Stakes here.

    The Preakness, the shortest of the Triple Crown races at 1 3/16 miles, is the 12th race on a 13-race Pimlico card that begins at 10:30 a.m. Eastern time on Saturday. The Preakness will be televised live by NBC, with a 6:15 p.m. post time.

    The purse for the Preakness is $1 million, with $600,000 going to the winner. For Big Brown, though, the stakes are higher, because he will be seeking to keep his hopes alive of becoming the first Triple Crown winner in 30 years.

    Big Brown faced 19 rivals in the Derby. Of the 12 horses entered against him in the Preakness, only one, Gayego, ran in the Derby, finishing 17th. The other 11 horses all skipped the Derby, either intentionally or - in the case of Kentucky Bear - because of insufficient earnings in graded stakes races.

    The Preakness is capped at 14 runners, so no horses were excluded from the race. Still, the number of runners was far more than anyone would have expected immediately following the Derby, in which Big Brown was an overpowering winner. Most trainers concede their horses are likely running for second-place money of $200,000 on Saturday.

    "If you take Big Brown out of the equation, I think it's a pretty wide-open race," Eddie Plesa, the trainer of Hey Byrn, said Wednesday. "Big Brown is absolutely the horse to beat."

    One trainer, though, believes Big Brown can be beaten.

    "He beat all of those horses at Churchill Downs, but he didn't beat us," said Reade Baker, the trainer of Kentucky Bear.

    This is the first time since 1980, when Jaklin Klugman faced Derby winner Genuine Risk, that only one horse exiting the Derby has signed up for a rematch with the Derby winner in the Preakness. Two Derby also-rans challenged Derby winner Barbaro in 2006. Citation, in 1948, is the last Derby winner who scared away all Derby challengers in the Preakness. Citation went off at 1-10 in that Preakness. He and Spectacular Bid, in 1979, are the shortest-priced favorites in Preakness history.

    Only two of the Preakness runners - Hey Byrn and Kentucky Bear - were at Pimlico on Wednesday morning, but several horses arrived later in the day.

    Stevil came by van from Kentucky, and Riley Tucker came by van from New York. Later in the afternoon, Gayego and Yankee Bravo arrived from California, along with Macho Again, who joined their flight after it stopped in Kentucky.

    The cargo plane then returned to Kentucky to bring Big Brown, Racecar Rhapsody, and Tres Borrachos. That flight was scheduled to arrive at Baltimore-Washington International Airport after 7 p.m. Wednesday, meaning Big Brown was not expected to arrive at the Pimlico stakes barn until about 8:30. His trainer, Richard Dutrow Jr., flew on the cargo plane with Big Brown.

    Giant Moon is scheduled to be transported by van from New York on Friday.

    Behindatthebar is scheduled to be sent by van from New York on Saturday morning. Icabad Crane, who is based at the Fair Hill training center in Maryland, is also scheduled to arrive at Pimlico on Saturday morning.

    The weather was delightful in Baltimore on Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs in the mid-70s, but it is expected to be unsettled later in the week. According to Weather.com, there is a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms on Friday, with a high temperature of 63 degrees. Saturday's forecast is for a high of 73 degrees, and a 20 percent chance of rain.
    Barry Larkin - HOF, 2012

    Put an end to the Lost Decade.

  2. Turn Off Ads?
  3. #2
    Charlie Brown All-Star IslandRed's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    Melbourne, FL
    Posts
    4,852

    Re: 133rd Preakness Stakes

    I'm mildly surprised at how many challengers there are, but then, second-place money isn't anything to sneeze at.

    What's surprising me, a little, is the extent of Big Brown's coronation in racing circles. I know winning from the 20 hole hadn't been done in ages, but I remember other horses winning from the outside gate in recent years, and with the long run to the first turn, I don't know if there's that much difference between breaking from 20 and from, say, 18. He had a clean trip and his time was good but not terrific. At this point, I see him as more the "class of a weak crop" horse and not a truly great one. Of course, there's plenty of time left for him to change my mind.
    Not all who wander are lost

  4. #3
    Member Highlifeman21's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    Bristol, just around the corner from ESPN
    Posts
    8,694

    Re: 133rd Preakness Stakes

    Riley Tucker, Big Brown, Gayego, Behindatthebar

    Box 'em in an exacta, that's how I'll probably do it on Saturday.

  5. #4
    Playoffs Cyclone792's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2005
    Location
    Cincinnati, OH
    Posts
    6,271

    Re: 133rd Preakness Stakes

    Looks like I'm probably going to go with a Trifecta Key: Big Brown to win with Kentucky Bear and Hey Byrn boxed for 2nd/3rd. I expect Big Brown to blow this race away, but I like Kentucky Bear and Hey Byrn to battle for place and show.

    Let's see a 7-8-13 or a 7-13-8 this Saturday!
    Barry Larkin - HOF, 2012

    Put an end to the Lost Decade.

  6. #5
    Member Highlifeman21's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    Bristol, just around the corner from ESPN
    Posts
    8,694

    Re: 133rd Preakness Stakes

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyclone792 View Post
    Looks like I'm probably going to go with a Trifecta Key: Big Brown to win with Kentucky Bear and Hey Byrn boxed for 2nd/3rd. I expect Big Brown to blow this race away, but I like Kentucky Bear and Hey Byrn to battle for place and show.

    Let's see a 7-8-13 or a 7-13-8 this Saturday!
    Don't you need a boxed key trifecta to give you both the 7-8-13 and the 7-13-8? Keying means you lock in the 7 at the win, but don't you need to box the other two?

    And Quiniela is the term I couldn't pronounce correctly last night. It's the UK version of a boxed exacta. I heard them mention the term when they were doing the double blind draw for post position the other day on ESPN2.

  7. #6
    Playoffs Cyclone792's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2005
    Location
    Cincinnati, OH
    Posts
    6,271

    Re: 133rd Preakness Stakes

    Quote Originally Posted by Highlifeman21 View Post
    Don't you need a boxed key trifecta to give you both the 7-8-13 and the 7-13-8? Keying means you lock in the 7 at the win, but don't you need to box the other two?

    And Quiniela is the term I couldn't pronounce correctly last night. It's the UK version of a boxed exacta. I heard them mention the term when they were doing the double blind draw for post position the other day on ESPN2.
    Right, I'm going 7 for the win, but essentially boxing 8 and 13 for place and show.

    Looks like we've got a scratch:

    http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/hor...ory?id=3399098

    BALTIMORE -- Behindatthebar was scratched on Friday from Saturday's 133rd Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course because of a bruise in his left front foot, trainer Todd Pletcher said.

    Behindatthebar trained early Friday morning at Belmont Park, but Pletcher said he was not satisfied with the way Behindatthebar galloped. The foot bruise was subsequently detected.

    According to Pletcher, Behindatthebar will now be pointed for a possible run in the June 7 Belmont Stakes, the final leg of the Triple Crown.

    Behindatthebar drew post 5 in an original field of 13 for the Preakness. All horses outside of him, including Kentucky Derby winner Big Brown, will now move in one slot in the starting gate.
    Barry Larkin - HOF, 2012

    Put an end to the Lost Decade.

  8. #7
    Charlie Brown All-Star IslandRed's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    Melbourne, FL
    Posts
    4,852

    Re: 133rd Preakness Stakes

    Interesting stat in the USA Today: There have been ten odds-on favorites beaten in the Preakness.

    Not sure anything in this field has it in them, though, unless Big Brown has a mishap of some sort.
    Not all who wander are lost


Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!


RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball


Contact us: Boss | GIK | BCubb2003 | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | LexRedsFan | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | redsfan1995 | The Operator | Tommyjohn25