Who said anything about Drew Stubbs being Jay Bruce? (All the "Not everyone can be Jay Bruce" BS.) I just want him to be not two-years at least behind schedule for a player drafted No. 9 overall. The guy is struggling with the bat in high A ball two years after he was drafted out of college. The argument that "Well, the only thing he doesn't do well is hit" is quite humorous to me. It's akin to, "She's really hot, except her face and body."
Drew Stubbs is not good and it was a huge reach to take him when we did. He will make the Major Leagues eventually but will never be an everyday starter. I have said my peace. Rip away.
Ryan Braun - Age 22 - hit .273/.342/.436 in the FSL.
Ryan Howard - Age 23 - hit .304/.374/.514
Chase Utley - Age 22 - hit .257/.324/.422
Russell Martin - Age 21 - hit .250/.366/.421
Chris Duncan - Age 22 - hit .254/.322/.315
Alex Rios - Age 21 - hit .304/.344/.408
Guys generally don't excel in the FSL, they survive it and thrive when they leave it. The ones that excel in the FSL are rare cases.
Drew Stubbs is fine. .270/.370/.405 in the FSL is a line that certainly is not an issue. He has struck out 55 times in 216 times to the plate. Not impressive or anything, thats 25.7% of the time. Everyones favorite, Todd Frazier currently has 21 strikeouts in 85 times to the plate, or 24.7%. Yeah, there is an age difference there of course, but still, no one is making much fuss about it right now. I think that people really underestimate just how difficult the FSL is on hitters when they look at Stubbs line and think he is struggling.
I remember on a Brewers fansite them getting pissed during a AA game later that year that Bailey blew Braun a kiss and then proceeded to strike him out. My how times have changed. Braun has become a mega-star. He didn't look that great in 2006.
Stubbs will be ok right now. If he gets another hot streak going, perfect time to send him to AA.
Suck it up cupcake.
As for a history of hitting.... you pretend like guys in the minor leagues are finished products or something. As if they don't learn anything, they just continue on at the same pace they were at. It doesn't work like that. Drew Stubbs, over the last 35% of his minor league at bats coming into the year had an OPS over .900. That to me, shows signs of improvement. What he is doing this year in the FSL, shows signs of improvement.
As for him not being a power hitter, I don't think anyone ever thought he would be a power hitter. People made Mike Cameron comparisons, but I think realistically people were expecting 20-25 HR, which for a CFer is strong. I still think he could fall in line with that in a few years given GABP.
I've been, and continue to be, a Stubbs fan and defender. I'm sticking to my prediction that he ends the year in L'ville. But here's an interesting question: if Wayne had taken Lincecum rather than Stubbs, would he still be the GM? I tend to think the answer is yes.
Suck it up cupcake.
He's a guy with serious contact issues and a skillset that screams leadoff hitter. but once guys realize he can't hit their good stuff his OBP will drop hard, because guys won't pitch around him at all. they don't have to.
Suck it up cupcake.
His April wasn't really tremendously lucky. He had a 31% line drive rate, that alone would project to a .430 BABIP. Couple that with guys with really good wheels get an additional boost from the few singles they can leg out on infield grounders and he wasn't really all that lucky with his April. Looking at May, he has been unlucky though, given his 21% line drive rate which would alone project a .330 BABIP and couple it with his wheels and it should probably be closer to .350 and its now at .270. Thats 80 points, thats fairly unlucky. Normalize that and he would be hitting .257/.368/.333 in May. Still, nothing to write home about because of the lack of power, but just normalizing his numbers based on what they likely should be and his .599 OPS jumps to .701 and his seasonal line would go to .297/.384/.432. I really think he is going to put up a line similar to that if he continues with his season rates he has going right now, which he has shown through now two months that he is doing a fairly good job of.
I am not saying I wouldn't love to see him hitting .300 and OBP of .400 and OPSing .900, but if he can put up an OPS of around .800 in A+ the common theme is that number will increase in AA and I think that if he could stay consistent, I would love a CF in Cincy with his defense, speed, OBP, and OPSing around .825...That would be just what the doctor ordered with power positions filled in RF, LF, 1B, 3B(EE or Frazier)...