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Thread: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

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    Member OnBaseMachine's Avatar
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    Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Brett Lawrie.

    7. Cincinnati Reds

    The Reds are lining up to throw the first real curveball of the first round. They have been heavily scouting the top group of college sluggers, as well as Gordon Beckham, while also dreaming of a scenario that would drop either Matusz or Crow to them. However, a surprising new name has entered the mix—the Reds were in hard on Canadian prepster Brett Lawrie after he went off with eight home runs in eight games against professionals in the Dominican, and they came back with reports encouraging enough to prompt a quickly-scheduled private workout on Tuesday afternoon. As one scouting director put it, “If there’s anyone who can improve his stock with a private workout, it’s Lawrie.” Assuming all went as expected, the surprises start at lucky number seven. If they decide to play it safe, Alonso is currently at the top of their board.
    Selection: Brett Lawrie, INF, Brookswood SS (BC)

    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/ar...articleid=7615
    I miss Adam Dunn.

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    There is no doubt the kid is talented and is quickly rising up the draft boards, but I still can't see how the Reds could pass up one of the top college talents in favor of Lawrie. I'm going to be pretty disappointed if they select Lawrie over an Alonso, Smoak, Beckham, Crow, or Matusz.
    I miss Adam Dunn.

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    Vampire Weekend @Bernie's camisadelgolf's Avatar
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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Hmmm, I don't know how much stock I'm willing to put in this. If the Reds pick Lawrie with Smoak, Alonso, and Crow on the board, RedsZone's minor league forum might just explode.

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    Posting in Dynarama M2's Avatar
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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Quote Originally Posted by camisadelgolf View Post
    Hmmm, I don't know how much stock I'm willing to put in this. If the Reds pick Lawrie with Smoak, Alonso, and Crow on the board, RedsZone's minor league forum might just explode.
    I won't hate the Lawrie pick if the Reds make it because I think he's got a lot of talent, but I'll be surprised if the team allows eight games in the Dominican and a private workout (the value of which I find highly dubious - I maintain teams see what they want to see in those things) to overtake talents that should have been at the top of their board for months.
    Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    How old is Lawrie?

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    I wonder what position the Reds envision Lawrie playing? Scouts think he has the tools to be a catcher but that would only slow his bat down. He's described as having above average speed, if so maybe he can handle center field or shortstop? If that's the case then I would like the pick a little more.
    I miss Adam Dunn.

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Quote Originally Posted by Grande Donkey View Post
    How old is Lawrie?
    He turned 18 in January.
    I miss Adam Dunn.

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    Box of Frogs edabbs44's Avatar
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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    I bet the commonality of some of these late risers is the fact that they will be an easy sign.

    Mesoraco had that going for him last year.

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Quote Originally Posted by M2 View Post
    I won't hate the Lawrie pick if the Reds make it because I think he's got a lot of talent, but I'll be surprised if the team allows eight games in the Dominican and a private workout (the value of which I find highly dubious - I maintain teams see what they want to see in those things) to overtake talents that should have been at the top of their board for months.
    I don't trust the private workout schema after the Gruler debacle. Tom Seaver my foot.

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Reds spent money on the Duran kid. Maybe they don't plan to spend a lot on the first rounder.

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    I may be in the minority but I like the pick. Kid has a great stick. I would rather have Alonso or Smoak but I would not be mad at all if he was the pick.

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Quote Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
    I wonder what position the Reds envision Lawrie playing? Scouts think he has the tools to be a catcher but that would only slow his bat down. He's described as having above average speed, if so maybe he can handle center field or shortstop? If that's the case then I would like the pick a little more.
    My guess is third base is as far right on the defensive spectrum as he'll end up. Really, it's his bat that's attracting all of the moths.
    "This isnít stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Sounds like Lawrie or Alonso.......

    My take is that they're projecting Lawrie as potentially the best RH bat in the draft. If the organization is leaning towards trying to sign Dunn, might it budge them more to Lawrie than to Alonso? But if they take Lawrie, where would they play him? I doubt it would be catcher, since that would likely slow his development quite a bit......

    Much food for discussion in this year's #1 choice, that's for sure.
    "Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini

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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    ē Brett Lawrie's name continues to be sprinkled around liberally, being mentioned as an outside possibility to go as high as No. 7 to the Reds.

    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?...2008&fext=.jsp
    I miss Adam Dunn.

  16. #15
    Let's ride BRM's Avatar
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    Re: Baseball Prospectus mock draft has the Reds selecting...

    Quote Originally Posted by edabbs44 View Post
    I bet the commonality of some of these late risers is the fact that they will be an easy sign.

    Mesoraco had that going for him last year.
    That would be business as usual on draft day for the Reds. I was really hoping to see that change.


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