nah and even I'm tired of bashing the guy. I do hop he turns it around enough that he can be packaged for... anything at this point.
Raisel Ghul, the Demon's Head
The eyes never lie.
This is just your "turf toe" excuse in another form.
"The problem with strikeouts isn't that they hurt your team, it's that they hurt your feelings..." --Rob Neyer
"The single most important thing for a hitter is to get a good pitch to hit. A good hitter can hit a pitch that’s over the plate three times better than a great hitter with a ball in a tough spot.”
Julio Borbon, the Drew Stubbs of the 2007 draft as some on here have called him, has been promoted to AA after performing well this year in high A ball.
Borbon, a supplemental first round pick in the 2007 MLB Draft, had been hitting .306 with 20 doubles and 36 stolen bases in 66 games with High-A Bakersfield.
Who would call someone drafted in the supplemental first round "the Drew Stubbs of 2007"? That is just dumb. Stubbs was the No. 8 overall pick, big difference between that and the supplemental first round.
Hopefully the Reds learned their lesson here. Never just take a "tools" guy that high in the draft. You need production too. You take chances on tools later in the draft, maybe even as early as the late first round. But not a top 10 pick. That is just ridiculous and the Reds are paying for it.
from BP on Ellsbury
Now look at Ellsbury’s season to date. After a slow start in which he had intermittent playing time, sharing the Sox center-field job with Coco Crisp, Ellsbury made a case for increased run in the second half of April, when he started 15 of 16 games and hit .310/.423/.466, with nine unintentional walks and just one strikeout in 72 plate appearances. Ellsbury was working deep counts frequently, and despite very little power—four extra-base hits—he was drawing walks.
Ellsbury continued to play well in May, with a respectable .275 batting average and 13/13 BB/K ratio in 113 PA. The uptick in his strikeout rate looked more a function of deep counts than any problems with the bat. In June, however, a disturbing reversal took place. Pitchers stopped walking Ellsbury and started blowing him away. In 102 plate appearances, Ellsbury draw three walks and struck out 20 times—nearly once every five PAs. His batting average went in the opposite direction of his contact rate, slipping to .245 even as he maintaned the identical .299 BABIP he’d had in the season’s first two months.
This is not a coincidence. I think that in the same way hitters who have solid walk rates and no power in the minors often run into trouble at the higher levels, Ellsbury is seeing a critical part of his game disappear in the majors as pitchers recognize that he can’t hurt them. While Ellsbury does have some pull power to right, he also tends to hit the ball on the ground that way, and he does not have a natural uppercut. The natural thing to do is to pound the strike zone and make Ellsbury swing the bat. While he has sustained his success when he makes contact, he has found himself hitting behind in the count more, generating fewer walks and many, many more strikeouts
What are you, people? On dope? - Mr Hand
Thanks for posting that flyer. It underscores what a lot of us have been saying.Originally Posted by flyer85
And if this is a problem for Ellsbury, who has good BA skills, imagine the horror show awaiting a guy like Stubbs, who whiffs more in a single season than Ellsbury did in his entire minor career (1,155 PA).
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In the draft, when in doubt, you take the best college arm available. It's easy to back seat drive today and say Lincecum was the pick. How about Max Scherzer from Mizzou taken after Lincecum? Then, there weren't any college pitchers taken for a while.
We can find a decent hitting OF who plays good defense and can't make contact (heck, we've got one in Corey Patterson). I'd rather gamble and lose on a college pitcher then hope that an OF can learn to hit.
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