I tried. I was discouraged after trying to be conservative, ie realistic.
I thought that I saw that the team was kind of backed against the wall. Which was forcing me to come back to much of what yourself and others have suggested, the team just doesn't have enough talent, and has too many holes to seriously contend with the high dollar clubs, I'm adding that point because I think, it too is a factor. I wonder if the club can move any decent players without causing problems else where.