1. Just because there is more money involved, doesn't mean the risk is higher.
Speaking in a strict financial sense, yes it does. Keep in mind, too, that Dunn has had knee surgery and is carrying 270 pounds around the outfield on a daily basis.

At 2 years $7M ($3.5/yr) you give the nod to Hairston ... your expecting Dunn to command $35M a year then?
No -- the total outlay to sign Dunn may be about 10X (5 years at 15 per, perhaps) the total outlay to sign Hairston (2 years at 3.5 per).