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Thread: The Lost Decade

  1. #31
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by KronoRed View Post
    Hardly, the problems around the Reds run way deeper then one player.
    Sure. But going into this decade you had a cheapskate CEO in Allen and terrific horse-trader in Bowden. The latter's skills made up for the lack of investment by the former, to a degree.

    Jr.'s contract tied Bowden's hands and hardened Allen.


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  3. #32
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by Rojo View Post
    Sure. But going into this decade you had a cheapskate CEO in Allen and terrific horse-trader in Bowden. The latter's skills made up for the lack of investment by the former, to a degree.

    Jr.'s contract tied Bowden's hands and hardened Allen.
    Rojo smart

  4. #33
    Goober GAC's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by Johnny Footstool View Post
    Anyone have a chart of the major-league pitching talent (or any major-league players, for that matter) drafted and developed by the Reds during that timeframe?
    Wouldn't take long to put that chart together. Certainly wouldn't need to use Excel Johnny.
    "In my day you had musicians who experimented with drugs. Now it's druggies experimenting with music" - Alfred G Clark (circa 1972)

  5. #34
    Goober GAC's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by WVRedsFan View Post
    We have a team of hackers who have no idea how to work a count. We lack intelligent hitters. I just have to feel we're going to have to import some maturity to this squad and hire management that has the guts to make players be more patient at the plate.
    Quote Originally Posted by RedsBaron View Post
    Bingo. Adam Dunn is virtually the only patient hitter the Reds have, and many Reds fans, lead by the local media, want to run Dunn out of town. I sometimes think a lot of Reds fans and leaders have never even heard of on base percentage.
    Very true gentlemen.

    If I was Adam Dunn you wouldn't have to run me out of town. I'd leave. Let Dusty try to then assemble an offense that would then suit his philosophy.

    Code:
    batting #1   .263 BA  .313 OB%    .381 SLG%  .694 OPS  total bases 180
    batting #2   .265 BA  .317 OB%    .372 SLG%  .688 OPS  total bases 173 
    batting #3   .234 BA  .337 OB%    .404 SLG%  .741 OPS  total bases 169
    batting #4   .264 BA  .326 OB%    .440 SLG%  .766 OPS  total bases 190
    All the above is bottom tier.

    Yet look at a comparison between the 1-4 spots vs 5-8 spots...

    Code:
          Walks        OB%
    
    #1      33        .313 (last in the NL)
    #2      32        .316
    #3      63        .337
    #4      38        .326
    
    TOTAL  166        .323
    
    #5      80        .391 (leads MLB)
    #6      38        .334
    #7      40        .355
    #8      51        .315
    
    TOTAL  209        .349
    As much as many were complaining about Jr in the #3 hole, and with justification, look what he was doing in the above areas in comparison to those in the key lead off spots. 2nd only to Dunn in BBs and OB%. One may want to add Hairston, but the guy has appeared in half as many games as the others too.

    Now do I place total blame on Dusty? No. You gotta play the cards dealt you.

    But I question, so far, at HOW he has chosen to play those cards.

    We say that Jocketty needs to be given time (a grace period) to put his "fingerprint" on this team. And I'm sure he'll be receiving input from Dusty.

    So now we're going to see, between now and next season, what kind of imprint Dusty wants to place on this roster.

    But I'm not impressed with a manager, when asked about the teams offensive woes, whose simplified responses are "we need to get more hits".
    Last edited by GAC; 08-02-2008 at 09:15 AM.
    "In my day you had musicians who experimented with drugs. Now it's druggies experimenting with music" - Alfred G Clark (circa 1972)

  6. #35
    Knowledge Is Good Big Klu's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by Johnny Footstool View Post
    Anyone have a chart of the major-league pitching talent (or any major-league players, for that matter) drafted and developed by the Reds during that timeframe?
    2000:
    Dane Sardinha, C (2nd rd.)
    Stephen Smitherman, OF (23rd rd.)

    2001:
    None

    2002:
    Joey Votto, C/1B (2nd rd.)
    Chris Denorfia, OF (19th rd.)
    Calvin Medlock, RHP (39th rd.)

    2003:
    Ryan Wagner, RHP (1st rd.)

    2004:
    Homer Bailey, RHP (1st rd.)
    Paul Janish, SS (5th rd.)

    2005:
    Jay Bruce, OF (1st rd.)

    2006:
    None

    2007:
    None

    2008:
    None (obviously)
    Last edited by Big Klu; 08-02-2008 at 03:49 PM.
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  7. #36
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Dustin Moseley also in 2000.

  8. #37
    Knowledge Is Good Big Klu's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by HokieRed View Post
    Dustin Moseley also in 2000.
    Thanks. I overlooked him. (Although he didn't make it to the big leagues until he was traded to the Angels.)
    Last edited by Big Klu; 08-02-2008 at 03:50 PM.
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  9. #38
    Redsmetz redsmetz's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by HokieRed View Post
    Dustin Moseley also in 2000.
    Ryan Snare is also from the 2000 draft, 2nd round. We traded him to the Marlins two years later in the deal that brought Ryan Dempster to us. Snare pitched part of 2004 with the Rangers, but he appears to now be out of baseball.
    “In the same way that a baseball season never really begins, it never really ends either.” - Lonnie Wheeler, "Bleachers, A Summer in Wrigley Field"

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  10. #39
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Things seem to be finally turning for the better in the recent Reds drafts. The 2005 draft netted us a future superstar in Jay Bruce. Travis Wood is currently pitching in AA and while he's struggling, he has two major league pitches right now. Zach Ward was dealt for Kyle Lohse who was dealt for Matt Maloney. Sam Lecure is pitching well in AA. Jeff Stevens was dealt for Brandon Phillips. Carlos Fisher and Adam Rosales are in AAA. I'd call that draft pretty successful.

    The 2006 draft has already saw eight players reach AA. Drafting Drew Stubbs over Lincecum hurt but Stubbs could still turn into a gold glove caliber center fielder. Behind him the Reds landed some solid depth. Sean Watson could develop into a fine setup man if he can find his control. Chris Valaika looks like a future above average middle infielder. Jordan Smith is currently starting in AA but profiles as a reliever with solid stuff. Josh Roenicke is pitching great in Louisville and should reach Cincy anytime now. Others like Justin Turner, Danny Dorn, and Chris Heisey look like they could be role players in the majors.

    The 2007 Reds draft was among the best in all of baseball last season. Catcher Devin Mesoraco is showing some solid hitting skills in Dayton. Todd Frazier has already advanced to High-A and projects as a very good major league hitter. Zach Cozart is hitting better than expected while flashing great defense. Neftali Soto is the best RH HS bat in the Reds system since Austin Kearns. Kyle Lotzkar has a 12.3 K/9 ratio as an 18-year old in Low-A. He's in the class of Johnny Cueto/Edinson Volquez type of prospects IMO. There's plenty more intriging prospects behind them like Evan Hildenbrandt, Scott Carroll, Jeremy Horst, Jeff Jeffords, Shea Snowden, and Alexis Oliveras.

    It's way too early to judge the 2008 draft but I like the early returns so far. Yonder Alonso has yet to sign but when he does he's expected to move quickly through the system. Third rounder Zach Stewart is mowing down hitters left and right and could reach Cincy next season at this pace.

    Jim Bowden's drafts killed this organization but I like the direction of the recent drafts. They could all still flop but at least most of the prospects are progressing instead of flaming out like they did in years past.

  11. #40
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
    The 2005 draft netted us a future superstar in Jay Bruce. Travis Wood is currently pitching in AA and while he's struggling, he has two major league pitches right now. Zach Ward was dealt for Kyle Lohse who was dealt for Matt Maloney. Sam Lecure is pitching well in AA. Jeff Stevens was dealt for Brandon Phillips. Carlos Fisher and Adam Rosales are in AAA. I'd call that draft pretty successful.

    The 2006 draft has already saw eight players reach AA. Drafting Drew Stubbs over Lincecum hurt but Stubbs could still turn into a gold glove caliber center fielder. Behind him the Reds landed some solid depth. Sean Watson could develop into a fine setup man if he can find his control. Chris Valaika looks like a future above average middle infielder. Jordan Smith is currently starting in AA but profiles as a reliever with solid stuff. Josh Roenicke is pitching great in Louisville and should reach Cincy anytime now. Others like Justin Turner, Danny Dorn, and Chris Heisey look like they could be role players in the majors.

    The 2007 Reds draft was among the best in all of baseball last season. Catcher Devin Mesoraco is showing some solid hitting skills in Dayton. Todd Frazier has already advanced to High-A and projects as a very good major league hitter. Zach Cozart is hitting better than expected while flashing great defense. Neftali Soto is the best RH HS bat in the Reds system since Austin Kearns. Kyle Lotzkar has a 12.3 K/9 ratio as an 18-year old in Low-A. He's in the class of Johnny Cueto/Edinson Volquez type of prospects IMO. There's plenty more intriging prospects behind them like Evan Hildenbrandt, Scott Carroll, Jeremy Horst, Jeff Jeffords, Shea Snowden, and Alexis Oliveras.

    It's way too early to judge the 2008 draft but I like the early returns so far. Yonder Alonso has yet to sign but when he does he's expected to move quickly through the system. Third rounder Zach Stewart is mowing down hitters left and right and could reach Cincy next season at this pace.

    Jim Bowden's drafts killed this organization but I like the direction of the recent drafts. They could all still flop but at least most of the prospects are progressing instead of flaming out like they did in years past.
    Very good stuff OBM, thanks.

  12. #41
    Member kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Klu View Post
    2000:
    Dane Sardinha, C (2nd rd.)
    Stephen Smitherman, OF (23rd rd.)

    2001:
    None

    2002:
    Joey Votto, C/1B (2nd rd.)
    Chris Denorfia, OF (19th rd.)
    Calvin Medlock, RHP (39th rd.)

    2003:
    Ryan Wagner, RHP (1st rd.)

    2004:
    Homer Bailey, RHP (1st rd.)
    Paul Janish, SS (5th rd.)

    2005:
    Jay Bruce, OF (1st rd.)

    2006:
    None

    2007:
    None

    2008:
    None (obviously)
    In a nutshell...that is why the Reds have been a poor franchise the past 10 years. On a daily basis we see micro-mangagement/lineup-order type moves ripped to shreds. The Austin Kearns trade has been beaten to death. I see complaints about the millions wasted on Stanton/Patterson types. Yeah, that type of stuff hurts, but the above post is the reason why the Reds haven't had a winning record in years. The five draft years from 2000-2004 were an absolute wasteland. Votto (good pick), Denoforia (so-so player...sorry) and Bailey (shaky pick at the moment) are it. Find a team that drafted worse than the Reds those 5 years. When you are constantly scrambling to fill your 25 man roster, the results are going to speak for themselves on the field.

    It appears however, that things are turning around, and for that reason the future is very bright.

  13. #42
    Mailing it in Cyclone792's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    The 2008 season has concluded; will the misery of the Lost Decade ever do the same?
    Code:
    
             W	 L	 pct	p-wins	p-losses   p-pct   Runs    RA	 Diff    Runs/G    RA/G
    
    2001	66	96	.407	  69	   93	   .428    735    850	 -115     4.54     5.25
    2002	78	84	.481	  74	   88	   .456    709    774	  -65     4.38     4.78
    2003	69	93	.426	  62	  100	   .380    694    886	 -192     4.28     5.47
    2004	76	86	.469	  66	   96	   .406    750    907	 -157     4.63     5.60
    2005	73	89	.451	  74	   88	   .460    820    889	  -69     5.06     5.49
    2006	80	82	.494	  76	   86	   .466    749    801	  -52     4.62     4.94
    2007	72	90	.444	  74	   88      .457    783    853	  -70     4.83     5.27
    2008	74	88	.463	  71	   91	   .431    704    800	  -96     4.35     4.94
    											
    TOTAL  588     708      .454	 565	  731	   .436   5944   6760	 -790     4.59     5.22
    
    The Lost Decade Average Season: 74-88
    2014-22 Average Season: 71-91

  14. #43
    Ripsnort wheels's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    The scary part is that their record should be even worse than it actually is.

    Are they moving in the right direction? I like that pitching is now in the equation, and I think Jocko's much more capable than O'brien or Krivsky, but.....
    "Baseball players are smarter than football players. How often do you see a baseball team penalized for too many men on the field?" ~ Jim Bouton

  15. #44
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyclone792 View Post
    The 2008 season has concluded; will the misery of the Lost Decade ever do the same?
    Code:
    
             W	 L	 pct	p-wins	p-losses   p-pct   Runs    RA	 Diff    Runs/G    RA/G
    
    2001	66	96	.407	  69	   93	   .428    735    850	 -115     4.54     5.25
    2002	78	84	.481	  74	   88	   .456    709    774	  -65     4.38     4.78
    2003	69	93	.426	  62	  100	   .380    694    886	 -192     4.28     5.47
    2004	76	86	.469	  66	   96	   .406    750    907	 -157     4.63     5.60
    2005	73	89	.451	  74	   88	   .460    820    889	  -69     5.06     5.49
    2006	80	82	.494	  76	   86	   .466    749    801	  -52     4.62     4.94
    2007	72	90	.444	  74	   88      .457    783    853	  -70     4.83     5.27
    2008	74	88	.463	  71	   91	   .431    704    800	  -96     4.35     4.94
    											
    TOTAL  588     708      .454	 565	  731	   .436   5944   6760	 -790     4.59     5.22
    
    Integrity dude, integrity.

  16. #45
    Member Spring~Fields's Avatar
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    Re: The Lost Decade

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyclone792 View Post
    The 2008 season has concluded; will the misery of the Lost Decade ever do the same?
    Code:
    
             W	 L	 pct	p-wins	p-losses   p-pct   Runs    RA	 Diff    Runs/G    RA/G
    
    2001	66	96	.407	  69	   93	   .428    735    850	 -115     4.54     5.25
    2002	78	84	.481	  74	   88	   .456    709    774	  -65     4.38     4.78
    2003	69	93	.426	  62	  100	   .380    694    886	 -192     4.28     5.47
    2004	76	86	.469	  66	   96	   .406    750    907	 -157     4.63     5.60
    2005	73	89	.451	  74	   88	   .460    820    889	  -69     5.06     5.49
    2006	80	82	.494	  76	   86	   .466    749    801	  -52     4.62     4.94
    2007	72	90	.444	  74	   88      .457    783    853	  -70     4.83     5.27
    2008	74	88	.463	  71	   91	   .431    704    800	  -96     4.35     4.94
    											
    TOTAL  588     708      .454	 565	  731	   .436   5944   6760	 -790     4.59     5.22
    
    Why does this years offense appear to have been worse than preceeding years? Is there a way to objectively tell why that might have occurred?


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