There are articles that state LD% directly correlates to SLG. There are articles that state that LD% combined with a low BABIP indicates bad luck, and good things WILL eventually happen as the BABIP normalizes. My question is does LD% really do anything but indicate that the ball was too high to be considered a GB, and too low to be considered a GB? Isn't a line drive subjective? Isn't it something labeled by the official scorer? Nothing in LD% indicates how hard a ball is hit, so how useful a stat is it when taken out of context? ie. no additional hitting stats.
Let's use Juan Francisco as an example.
The August numbers aren't completely current as Francisco has 76 AB's, not 67.Code:Month AB's LD% SLG HR 2B April 106 27.4 .491 4 10 May 105 24.4 .495 4 4 June 107 20.5 .374 3 7 July 100 17.8 .500 4 7 Aug 67 15.7 .647 7 4
So his LD% is trending down while his SLG is trending up? BTW, Francisco has been scary good in August.
BABIP suggests he's been unlucky yet he's posting monster numbers in a league that suppresses power. I really hope this kid can learn a little plate discipline. That OBP is downright ugly. but I digress.Code:AVG OBP SLG OPS BABIP .250 .301 .647 .948 .227
Yes this is just one example, but I've now looked at a few players, and I am not seeing the direct correlation of LD% to production.