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Thread: 2008 Hurricane Season

  1. #106
    Hey Cubs Fans RFS62's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Quote Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
    Hopefully it misses you guys. If it holds the current path it will cross into the Gulf and hit around Mississippi.
    "Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover."
    ~ Mark Twain

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  3. #107
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Sorry, I should have clarified it better. After it hits Florida it appears it may head into the Gulf towards Mississippi. I'm not too familiar with the area, is Coral Springs around Miami?

  4. #108
    Hey Cubs Fans RFS62's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Yes, I'm about 6 miles west of Ft. Lauderdale
    "Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover."
    ~ Mark Twain

  5. #109
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Here is the latest on Ike forecast to hit Florida as a category 3 on Tuesday afternoon.


  6. #110
    Member OnBaseMachine's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Quote Originally Posted by RFS62 View Post
    Yes, I'm about 6 miles west of Ft. Lauderdale
    You planning on evacuating? IIRC you're a former West Virginian right? You're welcome to join us again, we're safe from Hurricanes up here.

  7. #111
    Hey Cubs Fans RFS62's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Quote Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
    You planning on evacuating? IIRC you're a former West Virginian right? You're welcome to join us again, we're safe from Hurricanes up here.


    Yes, I'm originally from West Virginia. I'll be staying here through the hurricane. Puffy is driving down and we're going to lash ourselves to the antennae on top of the Diplomat hotel and ride it out like Captain Dan in Forrest Gump.

    "Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover."
    ~ Mark Twain

  8. #112
    Member OnBaseMachine's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season



    You guys stay safe. Hopefully the storm will veer to the right and miss ya.

  9. #113
    Danger is my business! oneupper's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Consensus Track has been moved south. Models however are very disperse.

    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."

    http://dalmady.blogspot.com

  10. #114
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    It is also possible that the trough of low pressure will not be strong enough to turn Ike to the north, and that the storm will enter the Gulf of Mexico. A second trough of low pressure would then turn Ike north, resulting in a n eventual landfall on the Gulf Coast between the Florida Panhandle and Texas. This is the forecast of the ECMWF and GFS models. My current thinking is along these lines:

    20% chance Ike will hit the east coast of Florida.
    30% chance Ike will hit the Florida Keys.
    30% chance Ike will hit Cuba. If this happens, there is 30% chance it would miss Florida and head into the Gulf of Mexico.
    10% chance that Ike will miss Florida, but hit further north along the U.S. coast.
    10% chance Ike will curve north out to sea and not hit the U.S.

    Overall, I'd give the Gulf Coast a 70% chance of getting hit (including the west coast of Florida).

    http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

  11. #115
    Member cumberlandreds's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    The DC area has tropical wind warnings issued for tonight and tomorrow. Also 4+ inches of rain from the remnants of Hanna. That's enough for me,thank you.
    Reds Fan Since 1971

  12. #116
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Latest track looks like Ike may shoot right past Florida and into the gulf. Though it is close enough that Florida could still be hit by Ike or feel the effects from the storm.

  13. #117
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    The new path from the NHC has Ike moving between Cuba and Florida and moving into the Gulf of Mexico next week. If it were to hold it's current path it would hit around Mississippi... a slight jog to the left would bring more trouble for New Orleans, though it's still a long way off and the path could change.

  14. #118
    SERP Emeritus paintmered's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    If this storm hits the gulf, we may see it turn into a Cat 5.
    What if this wasn't a rhetorical question?

    All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.

  15. #119
    Danger is my business! oneupper's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Quote Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
    The new path from the NHC has Ike moving between Cuba and Florida and moving into the Gulf of Mexico next week. If it were to hold it's current path it would hit around Mississippi... a slight jog to the left would bring more trouble for New Orleans, though it's still a long way off and the path could change.
    Since you seem to know about this stuff, my mother (78 today) tells me that the "British Model" is one that seems to be quite accurate. Do you know which one that is?

    BTW....big lines for water/supplies in Sam's in S.Florida today...just in case.
    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."

    http://dalmady.blogspot.com

  16. #120
    Member OnBaseMachine's Avatar
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    Re: 2008 Hurricane Season

    Quote Originally Posted by oneupper View Post
    Since you seem to know about this stuff, my mother (78 today) tells me that the "British Model" is one that seems to be quite accurate. Do you know which one that is?

    BTW....big lines for water/supplies in Sam's in S.Florida today...just in case.
    To tell you the truth, I've never heard of the British Model. I really don't know too much about this stuff other than what I read on the NHC website.


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