I was looking at the current standings, wildcards, etc. and stumbled across this stat: X W-L (Expected Win-Loss Records). The formula is this:
XW-L - Expected won-loss record based on runs scored and runs allowed, using this formula: RS^1.82/((RS^1.82)+(RA^1.82))
It looks like this method predicts at least one (middle of the pack) team with their exact Win-Loss record. Most other teams are pretty close to their X W-L (of course, the Reds are playing ABOVE their X W-L, as is the case in most categories).
Therefore, if the Runs Scored and Runs Allowed can be predicted, this formula could be used to predict the Win-Loss records for an upcoming year.
Does anyone see any validity in this formula? Does anyone use this formula to predict the Reds Win-Loss record during the beginning year prediction thread?