Frazier. His Hawaii showing should increase his market value and speed his rise to the majors. A hot month or two in AA and a promotion to AAA would be in store for him. Once he's at AAA, the promation to Cincy could occur any time. I have he and Alonso really close at 1 and 2. Soto is a close third. IMO those three are clearly superior to the others. Stubbs and Lotzkar are probably next.
If Homer Bailey were still eligible, he'd still be choice for number 1.