Perhaps I give 2008 too much weight. I'd be thrilled to be wrong, because I do think that Richar has the defensive ability for 2B and shares the LH platoon advantage that contributes to Dickerson's package. I'd be real happy if Richar bounces back and proves you right and me wrong. You've given me something to consider. Maybe Richar can be the LH bench bat this team needs in 2009.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS
Francisco. Dickerson is too old to be considered a prospect for me. Duran has yet to prove he can shave.
I expect a .780-.800 OPS every season for Valaika with an .850+ in his prime years. Sure that may require an improvement in plate discipline but there's no reason yet to not expect him to improve it. His defense won't be Kent bad either in fact I'd expect it to be better than adequate at 2B. Still I wouldn't expect him to be a superstar or anything but he looks like a better than average starting 2B to me so far.
This poll is officially closed. Juan Francisco beat out Juan Duran by two votes.
I miss Adam Dunn.
That doesn't mean guys outside of that age bracketing are lost causes or anything, it just means I think about them differently. For older players, their window is small, and I need to see real production right now, otherwise I'm not looking at them. Looking at it that way, you're justified in giving Dickerson a higher rating, because Richar had his chance and blew it. That doesn't mean you drop him completely, though, because if the production comes back (which it very well could), so does the prospect status. It's just there's no more benefit of the doubt based on your tools anymore. But the same is true for Dickerson. He's earned his chance, but if the production's not there, and not there early, you're going to have to have a real quick hook with him.
The real young guys, on the other hand, are such a big mystery I have to keep them in a seperate category as well. I'm no scout, and there's no stats to go by, so all you have is what you've read about their tools.
That's why I don't get all into the prospect lists so much. For me, Duran, Dickerson and Francisco are so different based on their ages I have no real idea how to compare them. So I have 3 lists..."young prospects", "prospects", and "old prospects", and I don't mix them up. Duran is only interesting to me insofar as he compares to Rodriguez, not as he compares to Dickerson. I wouldn't even know where to begin.
The margin to win is around five votes in a regular poll. There's not much you can do in a runoff.
I miss Adam Dunn.