1. Colby Rasmus
2. Pedro Alvarez
3. Brett Wallace
4. Alcides Escobar
5. Andrew McCutchen
6. Josh Vitters
7. Matt Gamel
8. Yonder Alonso
9. Brett Lawrie
10. Todd Frazier
11. Jason Castro
12. Chris Perez
13. Jeff Sarmardjia
14. Jeremy Jeffress
15. Jose Tabata
16. Drew Stubbs
17. Brad Lincoln
18. Bryan Morris
19. Chris Valakia
20. Neftali Soto
21. Jess Todd
22. Angel Salome
23. Clayton Mortesen
24. Daryl Jones
25. Neil Walker
26. Bryan Anderson
27. Dae-Hun Rhee
28. Taylor Green
29. Bud Norris
30. Juan Francisco
31. Kyle Lotzkar
I knew it! Vitters #6 and Soto all the way down at #20 despite Soto having similar (or better) tools and clearly outplaying Vitters to this point in their careers.
I miss Adam Dunn.
Clayton Mortensen turns 24 in April.
139.2 IP, 146 H, 18 HR, 64 BB/105 K, 4.96 ERA
Mechanical issues, bad control/command dating back to college, and a two pitch pitcher. Why is he even in the top 33? Clayton Mortensen is Jordan Smith without control.
Last edited by OnBaseMachine; 01-21-2009 at 06:05 PM.
I miss Adam Dunn.
I agree. Don't get me wrong, I actually like Mortensen.... but he isn't nearly as good as some of the guys he is ranked around.
That link is now working:
Within his top 30 — and it should be stressed that these are his rankings, not the BA rankings that are the product of an editorial consensus — here are the team totals:
Cardinals … 7
Cincinnati … 6
Milwaukee … 6
Pittsburgh … 5
Cubs … 4
Houston … 2
The Cardinals edge both Cincinnati and Milwaukee for the most prospects on Callis’ list. But even that is misleading. While the Cardinals have two of the top three prospects, Milwaukee has the better high-end total. The Brewers claim three of Callis’ top 10. Cincinnati has five of the top 20 in Callis’ list. As further evidence of the kind of depth the Cardinals’ have in the system, they have four players ranked between 21 and 27.
“My Top 30 list for the NL Central shows how the Cardinals stand out compared to the rest of the division,” Calllis wrote in an email that accompanied his top 30. “They’ve got the best up-the-middle prospect in Colby Rasmus and two of the three best prospects in Rasmus and Brett Wallace. When I put this together, I was surprised how hitting-heavy the division is. Chris Perez is my top pitching prospect in the NL Central, and the Cardinals also led all clubs with seven prospects on my Top 30.”
Without further prelude, here is Callis’ NL Central Top 30 (with Nos. 31, 32 and 33 as lagniappe):
1. Pedro Alvarez, 3b, Pirates — Signing-bonus snafu delayed his debut, but Pirates are prepared to push their No. 1 pick (No. 2 overall) all the way to Class AA out o spring training.
2. Colby Rasmus, of, Cardinals
3. Brett Wallace, 3b, Cardinals
4. Alcides Escobar, ss, Brewers — Made MLB debut after hitting .328/.363/.434 in AA.
5. Andrew McCutchen, of, Pirates — Considered the second-best prospect in the International League behind Cincinnati rookie Jay Bruce, who exhausted his eligibility for this list. Plus runner who will hit for average.
6. Josh Vitters, 3b, Cubs — Drafted third overall in 2007, was top prospect in Northwest League. Prototypical third baseman gets first extended look at full-season baseball this summer.
7. Mat Gamel, 3b, Brewers
8. Yonder Alonso, 1b, Reds
9. Brett Lawrie, c/3b, Brewers — Became highest ever Canadian position player selected in the draft when Milwaukee took him 16th overall. He ranked ninth this year on The Toronto Sun’s annual list of most influential Canadians in baseball.
10. Todd Frazier, inf, Reds
11. Jason Castro, c, Astros — A polished player fresh from college, Castro was the top-rated prospect in the New York-Penn League and then hit .333/.438/.487 in Hawaii this winter.
12. Chris Perez, rhp, Cardinals
13. Jeff Samardzija, rhp, Cubs — Wide receiver. Notre Dame. Setup or starter. You know.
14. Jose Tabata, of, Pirates — Was the No. 3 prospect in the New York Yankees organization a year ago; acquired in Xavier Nady deal and took off after change-of-scenery with .348/.402/.562 line in 22 games with Pittsburgh’s Altoona affiliate.
15. Jeremy Jeffress, rhp, Brewers
16. Drew Stubbs, of, Reds — Worth repeating correctly: When I first wrote this I blended my stories, and I apologize for that. OK. Take 2: Stubbs was the first-round pick in 2006, and Jay Bruce was the player the Cardinals coveted in 2005. It was the interest in Bruce that sent the Cardinals on search that landed Rasmus. A year later, Stubbs comes along as another guy the Cardinals eyed as more polished outfielder prospect to add and the Reds took him, too. Got my stories straight. Apologize for the blending. Head’s swimming with prospect names today.
17. Brad Lincoln, rhp, Pirates
18. Andrew Cashner, rhp, Cubs
19. Chris Valaika, ss, Reds
20. Neftali Soto, 3b, Reds
21. Jess Todd, rhp, Cardinals
22. Angel Salome, c, Brewers — Added to the Brewers’ 40-man roster. Nicknamed “Pocket Pudge,” Salome was suspended 50 games after testing positive for a performance-enhancing drug. He returned and hit .360/.415/.559 in 367 at-bats (98 games) at Class AA.
23. Neil Walker, 3b, Pirates
24. Daryl Jones, of, Cardinals
25. Bryan Anderson, c, Cardinals
26. Dae-Eun Rhee, rhp, Cubs — Signed out of Korea to a $525,000 bonus in July of 2007, Rhee allowed one run in his first three minor-league starts and then had elbow trouble. That led to Tommy John surgery and 2009 will be spent recovering. He’ll turn just 20 in March.
27. Clayton Mortensen, rhp, Cardinals
28. Bud Norris, rhp, Astros
29. Lorenzo Cain, of, Brewers
30. Juan Francisco, 3b, Reds — A product of Cincinnati’s efforts in Latin America, Francisco finished fourth in the Florida State League with 23 home runs in 2008. In 2007, he led the Midwest League in homers and he has 48 total in his past two seasons. Raw power compares well to recent Reds’ rookies. And then there are his 284 strikeouts in the past two seasons.
31. Kyle Lotzkar, rhp, Reds
32. Ross Seaton, rhp, Astros
33. Jason Motte, rhp, Cardinals
Some classic Callis in the ranking of Cubs prospects Vitters (yet to log a year in a full season league) at 6 and Dae-Eun Rhee at 26. Rhee, 19, had 3 minor league appearances followed by TJ surgery and is out till 2010.
Reminds me of how a couple years ago he had the Cubs' system ranked middle of the pack based on headliners Felix Pie, Mark Pawelek (HS pitcher who has pretty much busted before reaching low A) and "depth." If not quite that egregious, his bias here is plain to see.
"Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini
From the Pittsburgh Post recently (Monday), on Alvarez:
Perhaps Callis/BA might wait to see what guys look like in the spring before working on a ranking?Alvarez, a third baseman who was the Pirates' first-round draft pick last June, reported to minicamp last week in Bradenton, Fla., overweight and not at his usual strength. That also was the case, though apparently to a greater degree, when he reported to the Florida Instructional League in late September for his first professional action.
Coonelly pointed, as have others in the organization, to what he described as Alvarez's lack of activity during the high-profile three-month contract dispute last summer between the team and Scott Boras, Alvarez's agent. Alvarez ended up with a four-year, major league contract that included a $6 million signing bonus.
"We were disappointed, when we finally got Pedro signed to a contract, in his physical condition at the time," Coonelly said. "It had been represented to us by his representative that he had been working extraordinarily hard while we were negotiating. Pedro came in and was not in good condition."
Last edited by membengal; 01-22-2009 at 09:46 AM.
Well, if Alvarez has "work ethic" issues, that will impact where he should be in rankings, no?