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Thread: How many homers will our outfield hit?

  1. #1
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    How many homers will our outfield hit?

    I stole this from the ORG, hope they don't mind.

    But anyway, the 2009 Reds outfield, right now appears to be the least powerful outfield we've had in years. So with Bruce, Dickerson, Gomes, Willy T, and Hopper nd maybe Dorn down the road, how many homers will they hit this year?

    My best estimates:

    Bruce: 36 HR
    Dickerson: 14 HR
    Gomes: 13 HR
    Willy/Hairston: 5 HR
    Dorn/ Any newcomes or suprises that we don't know about: 10 HR
    Last edited by BearcatShane; 02-01-2009 at 06:12 PM.

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    Member Z-Fly's Avatar
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    I would say right around 50 total...
    WHEN DOES IT STOP!?!?

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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Quote Originally Posted by Z-Fly View Post
    I would say right around 50 total...

    I certainly hope not, but it is possible. Hopefully Dickerson breaks out with some power.

  5. #4
    Member redsfandan's Avatar
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce: 27 HR
    Dickerson: 18 HR
    Gomes: 14 HR
    Willy/Hairston: 6 HR
    Dorn/ Any newcomes or suprises that we don't know about: 8 HR

    Less homers from the outfield but the potential for more homers from the infield. (mostly catcher & ss if AGon is healthy for 130+ games) Overall maybe a few homers less as a team but not a big dropoff.
    "Now that's a real shame when folks be throwin' away a perfectly good white boy like that."

  6. #5
    The Future is Now Ghosts of 1990's Avatar
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce: 33 HR
    Taveras: 6 HR
    Dickerson: 12 HR
    Gomes: 10 HR

    71
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce: 30
    Tavares: 1
    Dickerson/Gomes/Hairtson/LF: 20
    all other back-up OF-ers combined: 5

    PEACE

    -BLEEDS
    I think that in a year or two, one of these guys - Frazier, Dorn, Valaika, Cumberland, Stubbs - will be ready to replace Dunn. They won't hit as many home runs as Dunn, but they should have similar OPS. - 757690, July 22, 2008

    Alonso will be playing 1B for the REDS and batting 4th one year from today. - Kingspoint, July 9, 2009

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    Future Fame of Holler WildcatFan's Avatar
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce: 25
    Taveras: 2
    Dickerson/Hairston/Gomes/backups: 25

    Mark it down — the first and third base positions combined will hit more home runs than than the three outfield positions.

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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce: 24
    Taveras: -4
    Chrissy Dickston III: 17
    Jonny Gomes: 9
    Lil Norris Hopper: 38
    other: 10

    TOTAL: no idea

    http://jeromesredscare.blogspot.com

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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce - 30
    Dickerson - 10
    Hairston - 10
    taveras - 5
    Gomes - 10 (if he comes North)
    And, if Dorn comes up early enough to get close to 400ABs - 20

  11. #10
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce-32
    WT-1
    Dickerson-11
    Gomes-12
    Hairston-6

  12. #11
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Quote Originally Posted by WildcatFan View Post

    Mark it down the first and third base positions combined will hit more home runs than than the three outfield positions.
    Really good chance considering Taveras hits a maximum of 2 and will start 140 games at least barring injury

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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    As long as Bruce can hit a good bit and the rest get on base and let Votto and Phillips knock them in and we score a lot of runs.I don't care who hits em.
    Chris Sabo is my All-Time favorite Red

  14. #13
    Battle Toad Historian thatcoolguy_22's Avatar
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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce
    Bill James .891 OPS 35 HR
    Chone .843 OPS 27 HR
    Marcel .800 OPS 18 HR
    Oliver .830 OPS 29 HR

    Taveras
    BJ .672 OPS 2 HR
    C .669 OPS 2 HR
    M .680 OPS 3 HR
    O .650 OPS 3 HR

    Dickerson
    BJ .814 OPS 21 HR
    C .749 OPS 16 HR
    M .851 OPS 9 HR
    O .742 OPS 15 HR

    Gomes
    BJ .815 OPS 9 HR
    C .808 OPS 20 HR
    M .742 OPS 13 HR
    O .770 OPS 12 HR


    These are just the projections from Bill James, Chones, Marcel and, Oliver. I'm thinking
    Bruce 30
    Taveras 2
    Dickerson 15
    Gomes 15

    Put me down for 62HR and place your bets accordingly on the O/U I see a combined OPS for the OF to be just shy of .800. my .02
    "Last week I helped my friend stay put. It's a lot easier'n helpin' 'em move. I just went over to his house and made sure that he did not start to load **** into a truck."

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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Bruce: 31
    Dickerson: 13
    Gomes: 10
    Hairston: 5
    Taveras: 2
    Other: 7

    So I will go with 68 total. I threw the other category in there because who really knows who may get a start or two in the outfield for us this season.

    FYI, this is my first post on the message boards. Hope to get around to posting as much as possible. Go Reds!
    Cincinnati Bearcats Basketball: (16-8, 5-5) [RPI: 50 SOS: 22]

    I have an admitted man-crush on Brandon Phillips

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    Re: How many homers will our outfield hit?

    Quote Originally Posted by BearcatShane View Post
    I stole this from the ORG, hope they don't mind.

    But anyway, the 2009 Reds outfield, right now appears to be the least powerful outfield we've had in years. So with Bruce, Dickerson, Gomes, Willy T, and Hopper nd maybe Dorn down the road, how many homers will they hit this year?

    My best estimates:

    Bruce: 36 HR
    Dickerson: 14 HR
    Gomes: 13 HR
    Willy/Hairston: 5 HR
    Dorn/ Any newcomes or suprises that we don't know about: 10 HR
    I have a better shot of hitting 14 hrs for the Reds than Dickerson.


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