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Thread: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

  1. #1
    The Future is Now Ghosts of 1990's Avatar
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    According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Hey there guys, some readers of my blog developed this tool and emailed me with it, and I have to say I'm having some fun with it!

    I'm warning you, it is addicting and you will waste your time on it. It simulates the 2009 season and all the pennant races and playoffs. It also tells you stats. The first two simulation seasons I did had us winning the NL Central. We got defeated by the Phillies 3 games to 1 in the playoffs each time.

    Volquez won the Cy Young the first year.

    Check it out.

    www.baseballboss.com/simulations/2009
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

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  3. #2
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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Ankiel just dropped 43 bombs and drove in 123 in my third season on this. We finished last while the SF Giants made the playoffs.
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

  4. #3
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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    mine is more accurate...the Reds go 69-93 out of first 22 games, sounds right to me.

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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by will5979 View Post
    mine is more accurate...the Reds go 69-93 out of first 22 games, sounds right to me.
    I don't use any pytahgorean theorems, but let me tell you as a lifelong baseball fan; I would bet my soul, my life, that this team wins more then 69.
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

  6. #5
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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Bruce just hit .250 with 17 HR and 68 RBI in the season I simulated (4th season)

    ouch.
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

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    Future Fame of Holler WildcatFan's Avatar
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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Oh, my bad. When I saw this thread title I thought we were talking about Steve Phillips.

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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by JayBruce32 View Post
    I don't use any pytahgorean theorems, but let me tell you as a lifelong baseball fan; I would bet my soul, my life, that this team wins more then 69.
    Amen to that brother, I don't use that geeky crap myself, well really I don't understand it nor do I want to! I hope you are right about the wins though, I'll be more than happy to say I was wrong if they win more games, but I say they win 75.

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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by WildcatFan View Post
    Oh, my bad. When I saw this thread title I thought we were talking about Steve Phillips.
    I'm not cool enough to have a good signature

  10. #9
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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    When we won the division the two times when I simulated it was with just 84 wins! Not all that shocking considering our division!

    I say we're an 80 win team
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by JayBruce32 View Post
    When we won the division the two times when I simulated it was with just 84 wins! Not all that shocking considering our division!

    I say we're an 80 win team
    I don't understand this line of thinking. I think its a safe bet that the Cubs will have one of if not the highest win totals in the NL. I think one of our biggest problems this year is that its going to take a ton of wins to beat the Cubs.

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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by WildcatFan View Post
    Oh, my bad. When I saw this thread title I thought we were talking about Steve Phillips.
    Awesome. My thoughts exactly.


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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    I just ran it and Harden lead the league in Ks with 301. I like the Reds chances of winning 91 games(10 over .500) about 100 times better than Harden getting 301 Ks.

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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by will5979 View Post
    Amen to that brother, I don't use that geeky crap myself, well really I don't understand it nor do I want to! I hope you are right about the wins though, I'll be more than happy to say I was wrong if they win more games, but I say they win 75.
    I'm not a math or numbers person... but when something works and is accurate why not use it? The "nor do I want to" makes you sound like a very open minded person. Is the world still flat?
    I know a lot of people are talking about his on-base percentage (.308 in 2008), but I like to think more in terms of him his in-scoring position percentage. - Our Beloved Manager

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    Winning the Human Race TheBigLebowski's Avatar
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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by WildcatFan View Post
    Oh, my bad. When I saw this thread title I thought we were talking about Steve Phillips.
    I was afraid the thread was about me.
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    Re: According to this tool, 2009 Reds are Playoff Bound

    Quote Originally Posted by TheBigLebowski View Post
    I was afraid the thread was about me.
    I half thought the OP was jokingly referring to himself.


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