I never realized how much the optomist I really was - I called 74 wins
I never realized how much the optomist I really was - I called 74 wins
“And when finally they sense that some position cannot be sustained, they do not re-examine their ideas. Instead, they simply change the subject.” Jamie Galbraith
Arroyo is always capable of ripping off a solid run of 4 or 5 starts. That'd help. I suspect Cueto will right himself eventually as well. The pitching isn't nearly as bad as it has been.
Plus, once you get into September, they'll be playing more teams that look like them (glorified AAA squads).
I suppose the smart thing to do would be to prophesize doom and gloom -- but really, life's depressing enough already.
Last edited by Caveat Emperor; 07-30-2009 at 10:03 PM.
Cincinnati Reds: Farm System Champions 2022
They are now playing the way I expected but they played over their head the 1st two months so I think they will go past my 60 prediction but not by more then 5.
My prediction of 77 wins seems idiotic right now, though I will submit that I also didn't foresee as many injuries as the Reds have had. You always must take into account some injuries, but they've had a few more than expected.
Nevertheless, gonelong mentioned that the formula in recent years for actual wins has been "ORG Average - 7 = Actual Wins." With the ORG average at 79 wins, that'd pin the Reds right at 72 wins, and that seems very realistic and on target at this point.
The Lost Decade Average Season: 74-88
2014-22 Average Season: 71-91
The Lost Decade Average Season: 74-88
2014-22 Average Season: 71-91
Going to be hard to make 70-92.
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