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Thread: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

  1. #61
    RaisorZone Raisor's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I'm going to say 75 wins.

    And there was much rejoicing.


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  3. #62
    Member Reds Fanatic's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    79 wins

  4. #63
    Yay! dabvu2498's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    85-77
    When all is said and done more is said than done.

  5. #64
    Member cincrazy's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    84 wins. A relatively weak division and a good rotation carries us, but the offense, while showing promise, has too many black holes to allow the team to go any further.

  6. #65
    Posting in Dynarama M2's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    73-89
    I'm not a system player. I am a system.

  7. #66
    Member Tom Servo's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    79 wins.
    “I don’t care,” Votto said of passing his friend and former teammate. “He’s in the past. Bye-bye, Jay.”

  8. #67
    Be the ball Roy Tucker's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I'll continue my role of Pollyanna, 3.5 sigma, and resident idiot...

    93 wins.

    Wooo!!!!!
    She used to wake me up with coffee ever morning

  9. #68
    Titanic Struggles Caveat Emperor's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I figure this team is good for about 76 wins.

    Anything more would require a giant leap forward for Jay Bruce, a career year from Willy Taveras, a breakout season from Edwin Encarnacion, and at least one major midseason acquisition.

    (And, hot damn -- I never looked back to last year's prediction thread. I hit dead-on with my guess.)
    Cincinnati Reds: Farm System Champions 2022

  10. #69
    Back from my hiatus Mario-Rijo's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by Caveat Emperor View Post
    I figure this team is good for about 76 wins.

    Anything more would require a giant leap forward for Jay Bruce, a career year from Willy Taveras, a breakout season from Edwin Encarnacion, and at least one major midseason acquisition.

    (And, hot damn -- I never looked back to last year's prediction thread. I hit dead-on with my guess.)
    Well that's just the thing isn't it, you have to figure the unbiased odds of the likelihood of any of those things actually happening. And figure the likelihood of most other guys having a similiar year as last. I happen to think that the pitching is improved (especially that 5th hole) and the defense is as well. I also like the bench a bit better also.

    I think we are in for an improvement of up to 3-5 games without a big explosion by someone. However I expect an explosion of sorts from Jay Bruce which it's hopefully not wasted by sandwiching him between BP (if he hits into a lot of DP's) and Edwin (with his amazing inconsistency).

    I'll split the difference and call it a 78 win team with a ceiling of about 81-82 wins unless there is some major addition to the club at some point.
    "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one."

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  11. #70
    SERP Emeritus paintmered's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    74-88

    No kool-aid this year
    All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.

  12. #71
    Oy Vey! Red in Chicago's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    now that we're on the "official" prediction thread, i'm going with 78

  13. #72
    Goober GAC's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    74 wins
    "In my day you had musicians who experimented with drugs. Now it's druggies experimenting with music" - Alfred G Clark (circa 1972)

  14. #73
    Member SirFelixCat's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I want to say 87, but I'll go with what I really think:


    83 wins this year and setting the team up for a run in '10!

  15. #74
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    76 wins.

  16. #75
    Pre-tty, pre-tty good!! MWM's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    69-93. this team is going to be awful. And if I had to take 69 as the over/under, I'd take the under.

    Please, let me be wrong!!!!
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