I thought the midseason point might be a good time to bump this thread. The Reds stand at 40-41, on pace for 80 wins. I'm not sure what the protocol is like for this thread in the past, but I certainly enjoyed reading it today.
My pessimism appears to be off the mark a decent amount. For some reason I had in my mind that i predicted 74 wins for this team this season, but I guess I predicted 72. I now think they'll win 76-77 games.