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Thread: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

  1. #166
    BobC, get a legit F.O.! Mario-Rijo's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    The injuries were just too plentiful to reach my magic number of 78 (IIRC, too lazy to look). I still think they wind up close enough that the lost wins due to injury could have bridged it to 78.
    "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one."

    --Woody Hayes

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  3. #167
    Member Ron Madden's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Every Club has to deal with injuries.

    I actually thought the pitching would be better than it has been.

    I knew from the get go the offense and Dusty were bound to fail.

    Lord Have Mercy! I'd be happy with 3 or 4 wins a week from here on out.


  4. #168
    The Lineups stink. KronoRed's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I'm still feeling good about 74 wins, though I may have been too much of a kool aid drinker.
    Go Gators!

  5. #169
    Member cumberlandreds's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Looks like my 78 prediction is way too optimistic. It will certainly be lower next season.
    Reds Fan Since 1971

  6. #170
    Member Highlifeman21's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by cumberlandreds View Post
    Looks like my 78 prediction is way too optimistic. It will certainly be lower next season.
    If they win today, your prediction is dead on.

    If they lose, those who picked 77 take the cake.

  7. #171
    Member Highlifeman21's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    If the Reds lose today and finish with 77 wins, the following people correctly picked 77:

    *BaseClogger 77
    BuckeyeRedleg 77
    Cyclone 792 77
    boognish 77


    If the Reds beat up on the mighty might Pirates and pull off the win that will propel us to greatness in 2010, leaving us with 78 for this season, the following people correctly picked 78:

    gonelong 78
    edabbs44 78
    cumberlandreds 78
    BRM 78
    kbrake 78
    Mario-Rijo 78
    Red in Chicago 78
    HumnHilghtFreel 78
    Boss-Hog 78
    GoReds33 78
    Stormy 78


    In honor of gonelong, let's see the Reds get that W, so his 78 comes true

  8. #172
    Ripsnort wheels's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    It's amazing to me that they've won 77 games.

    At mid season it looked as if my 70 win prediction was too optimistic.

    I ain't exactly going ape excrement over it, though.
    "We know we're better than this, but we can't prove it." - Tony Gwynn

  9. #173
    High five! nate's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Don't forget my +/-10 game spread!

    "Bring on Rod Stupid!"

  10. #174
    Stat Wanker Hodiernus RedsManRick's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    So close... I had us at 79.
    Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

  11. #175
    Danger is my business! oneupper's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Like wheels', my 71 were looking optimistic when the team was 51-71. Quite a tear since then.

    2009 was truly a "tale of two teams". This team is quite different without Taveras, Encarnacion, Gonzalez and some of the other departed/wounded.
    (yes probably even Harang).

    I still think team Aug-Sep would be even better without Duhsty./deadhorse
    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."

    http://dalmady.blogspot.com

  12. #176
    Member OnBaseMachine's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I predicted 83 wins. If the Reds hadn't been devastated by injuries then they may have reach 83.

  13. #177
    Socratic Gadfly TheNext44's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
    I predicted 83 wins. If the Reds hadn't been devastated by injuries then they may have reach 83.
    If you just plug in the players who were hurt career numbers in exchange for the guys who filled in for them, one can show that injuries cost the Reds 8 wins this year. Considering that all teams have injuries, I think it is safe to say that the Reds higher than normal injury rate cost them at least 4 games more than normal.

    So it seems like your prediction was real close.
    "Imagination is more important than knowledge." -- Albert Einstein

  14. #178
    Stat Wanker Hodiernus RedsManRick's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine View Post
    I predicted 83 wins. If the Reds hadn't been devastated by injuries then they may have reach 83.
    Of course, if Taveras had stayed healthy we might not have reached 75.
    Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

  15. #179
    High five! nate's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsManRick View Post
    Of course, if Taveras had stayed healthy we might not have reached 75.
    Heh!
    "Bring on Rod Stupid!"

  16. #180
    Member OnBaseMachine's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsManRick View Post
    Of course, if Taveras had stayed healthy we might not have reached 75.
    True.


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